scholarly journals Computing the probability density function of non-autonomous first-order linear homogeneous differential equations with uncertainty

2018 ◽  
Vol 337 ◽  
pp. 190-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.-C. Cortés ◽  
A. Navarro-Quiles ◽  
J.-V. Romero ◽  
M.-D. Roselló
2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.-C. Casabán ◽  
J.-C. Cortés ◽  
J.-V. Romero ◽  
M.-D. Roselló

Deterministic differential equations are useful tools for mathematical modelling. The consideration of uncertainty into their formulation leads to random differential equations. Solving a random differential equation means computing not only its solution stochastic process but also its main statistical functions such as the expectation and standard deviation. The determination of its first probability density function provides a more complete probabilistic description of the solution stochastic process in each time instant. In this paper, one presents a comprehensive study to determinate the first probability density function to the solution of linear random initial value problems taking advantage of the so-called random variable transformation method. For the sake of clarity, the study has been split into thirteen cases depending on the way that randomness enters into the linear model. In most cases, the analysis includes the specification of the domain of the first probability density function of the solution stochastic process whose determination is a delicate issue. A strong point of the study is the presentation of a wide range of examples, at least one of each of the thirteen casuistries, where both standard and nonstandard probabilistic distributions are considered.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 337-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nihal İnce ◽  
Aladdin Shamilov

AbstractIn this study, a new method to obtain approximate probability density function (pdf) of random variable of solution of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by using generalized entropy optimization methods (GEOM) is developed. By starting given statistical data and Euler–Maruyama (EM) method approximating SDE are constructed several trajectories of SDEs. The constructed trajectories allow to obtain random variable according to the fixed time. An application of the newly developed method includes SDE model fitting on weekly closing prices of Honda Motor Company stock data between 02 July 2018 and 25 March 2019.


2001 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 659-671 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiqiang Zhang ◽  
Howell Tong

We study a simple first-order nonnegative bilinear time-series model and give conditions under which the model is stationary. The probability density function of the stationary distribution (when it exists) is found. We also discuss the tail behaviour of the stationary distribution and calculate the probability density function by a numerical method. Simulation is used to check the calculation.


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