scholarly journals Passage-time computation and aggregation strategies for large semi-Markov processes

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (3) ◽  
pp. 221-236 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcel C. Guenther ◽  
Nicholas J. Dingle ◽  
Jeremy T. Bradley ◽  
William J. Knottenbelt
Author(s):  
Franciszek Grabski

A semi-Markov stochastic process is used for solving in a reliability problem in the paper. The problem concerns of two different component cold standby system and a switch. To obtain the reliability characteristic and parameters of the system we construct so called an embedded semi-Markov process in the process describing operation process of the system. In the model the conditional time to failure of the system is represented by a random variable denoting the first passage time from the given state to the specified subset of states. We apply theorems of the semi-Markov processes theory concerning the conditional reliability functions to calculate the reliability function and mean time to failure of the system. Often an exact reliability function of the system by using Laplace transform is difficult to calculate, frequently impossible. The semi-Markov processes perturbation theory, allows to obtain an approximate reliability function of the system in that case.


2008 ◽  
Vol 101 (14) ◽  
Author(s):  
Heinz-Peter Breuer ◽  
Bassano Vacchini

2008 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 355-375 ◽  
Author(s):  
Márcio das Chagas Moura ◽  
Enrique López Droguett

In this work it is proposed a model for the assessment of availability measure of fault tolerant systems based on the integration of continuous time semi-Markov processes and Bayesian belief networks. This integration results in a hybrid stochastic model that is able to represent the dynamic characteristics of a system as well as to deal with cause-effect relationships among external factors such as environmental and operational conditions. The hybrid model also allows for uncertainty propagation on the system availability. It is also proposed a numerical procedure for the solution of the state probability equations of semi-Markov processes described in terms of transition rates. The numerical procedure is based on the application of Laplace transforms that are inverted by the Gauss quadrature method known as Gauss Legendre. The hybrid model and numerical procedure are illustrated by means of an example of application in the context of fault tolerant systems.


1978 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 531-542 ◽  
Author(s):  
Izzet Sahin

This paper is concerned with the characterization of the cumulative pensionable service over an individual's working life that is made up of random lengths of service in different employments in a given industry, under partial coverage, transferability, and a uniform vesting rule. This characterization uses some results that are developed in the paper involving a functional and cumulative constrained sojourn times (constrained in the sense that if a sojourn time is less than a given constant it is not counted) in semi-Markov processes.


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