scholarly journals Extinction Times in Multitype Markov Branching Processes

2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (01) ◽  
pp. 296-307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominik Heinzmann

In this paper, a distributional approximation to the time to extinction in a subcritical continuous-time Markov branching process is derived. A limit theorem for this distribution is established and the error in the approximation is quantified. The accuracy of the approximation is illustrated in an epidemiological example. Since Markov branching processes serve as approximations to nonlinear epidemic processes in the initial and final stages, our results can also be used to describe the time to extinction for such processes.

2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 296-307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominik Heinzmann

In this paper, a distributional approximation to the time to extinction in a subcritical continuous-time Markov branching process is derived. A limit theorem for this distribution is established and the error in the approximation is quantified. The accuracy of the approximation is illustrated in an epidemiological example. Since Markov branching processes serve as approximations to nonlinear epidemic processes in the initial and final stages, our results can also be used to describe the time to extinction for such processes.


1975 ◽  
Vol 7 (03) ◽  
pp. 495-510
Author(s):  
Carla Lipow

A continuous-time Markov branching process is modified to allow some dependence of offspring generating function on population size. The model involves a given population size M, below which the offspring generating function is supercritical and above which it is subcritical. Immigration is allowed when the population size is 0. The process has a stationary measure, and an expression for its generating function is found. A limit theorem for the stationary measure as M tends to ∞ is then obtained.


1975 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 495-510 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carla Lipow

A continuous-time Markov branching process is modified to allow some dependence of offspring generating function on population size. The model involves a given population size M, below which the offspring generating function is supercritical and above which it is subcritical. Immigration is allowed when the population size is 0. The process has a stationary measure, and an expression for its generating function is found. A limit theorem for the stationary measure as M tends to ∞ is then obtained.


2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 1134-1143
Author(s):  
Hamed Amini ◽  
Marc Lelarge

Upper deviation results are obtained for the split time of a supercritical continuous-time Markov branching process. More precisely, we establish the existence of logarithmic limits for the likelihood that the split times of the process are greater than an identified value and determine an expression for the limiting quantity. We also give an estimation for the lower deviation probability of the split times, which shows that the scaling is completely different from the upper deviations.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Azam A. Imomov

Consider the Markov Branching Process with continuous time. Our focus is on the limit properties of transition functions of this process. Using differential analogue of the Basic Lemma we prove local limit theorems for all cases and observe invariant properties of considering process.


1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 345-347 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert C. Wang

This paper considers the expression of expectations and density function of the extinction time for a continuous-time Markov branching process.


2012 ◽  
Vol 49 (04) ◽  
pp. 1134-1143
Author(s):  
Hamed Amini ◽  
Marc Lelarge

Upper deviation results are obtained for the split time of a supercritical continuous-time Markov branching process. More precisely, we establish the existence of logarithmic limits for the likelihood that the split times of the process are greater than an identified value and determine an expression for the limiting quantity. We also give an estimation for the lower deviation probability of the split times, which shows that the scaling is completely different from the upper deviations.


1976 ◽  
Vol 13 (02) ◽  
pp. 345-347
Author(s):  
Robert C. Wang

This paper considers the expression of expectations and density function of the extinction time for a continuous-time Markov branching process.


2020 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 1111-1134
Author(s):  
Dorottya Fekete ◽  
Joaquin Fontbona ◽  
Andreas E. Kyprianou

AbstractIt is well understood that a supercritical superprocess is equal in law to a discrete Markov branching process whose genealogy is dressed in a Poissonian way with immigration which initiates subcritical superprocesses. The Markov branching process corresponds to the genealogical description of prolific individuals, that is, individuals who produce eternal genealogical lines of descent, and is often referred to as the skeleton or backbone of the original superprocess. The Poissonian dressing along the skeleton may be considered to be the remaining non-prolific genealogical mass in the superprocess. Such skeletal decompositions are equally well understood for continuous-state branching processes (CSBP).In a previous article [16] we developed an SDE approach to study the skeletal representation of CSBPs, which provided a common framework for the skeletal decompositions of supercritical and (sub)critical CSBPs. It also helped us to understand how the skeleton thins down onto one infinite line of descent when conditioning on survival until larger and larger times, and eventually forever.Here our main motivation is to show the robustness of the SDE approach by expanding it to the spatial setting of superprocesses. The current article only considers supercritical superprocesses, leaving the subcritical case open.


1980 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-93 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Klein ◽  
P. D. M. MacDonald

The multitype continuous-time Markov branching process has many biological applications where the environmental factors vary in a periodic manner. Circadian or diurnal rhythms in cell kinetics are an important example. It is shown that in the supercritical positively regular case the proportions of individuals of various types converge in probability to a non-random periodic vector, independent of the initial conditions, while the absolute numbers of individuals of various types converge in probability to that vector multiplied by a random variable whose distribution depends on the initial conditions. It is noted that the proofs are straightforward extensions of the well-known results for a constant environment.


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