Hybrid method of using neural networks and ARMA model to forecast value at risk (VAR) in the Chinese stock market

2008 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1093-1108
Author(s):  
Hae-Ching Chang ◽  
Jian-Hsin Chou ◽  
Cheng-Te Chen ◽  
Chin-Shan Hsieh
2006 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-163
Author(s):  
W.C. Ip ◽  
◽  
H. Wong ◽  
Jiazhu Pan ◽  
Keke Yuan ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji Ho Kwon

AbstractThis study investigates the factors of Bitcoin’s tail risk, quantified by Value at Risk (VaR). Extending the conditional autoregressive VaR model proposed by Engle and Manganelli (2004), I examine 30 potential drivers of Bitcoin’s 5% and 1% VaR. For the 5% VaR, quantity variables, such as Bitcoin trading volume and monetary policy rate, were positively significant, but these effects were attenuated when new samples were added. The 5% VaR responds positively to the Internet search index and negatively to the fluctuation of returns on commodity variables and the Chinese stock market index. For the 1% VaR, variables related to the macroeconomy play a key role. The consumer sentiment index exerts a strong positive effect on the 1% VaR. I also find that the 1% VaR has positive relationships with the US economic policy uncertainty index and the fluctuation of returns on the corporate bond index.


Author(s):  
Eric Kwame Austro Gozah ◽  
Eric Neebo Wiah ◽  
Albert Buabeng ◽  
Paul Yaw Addai Yeboah

2013 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 316-336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georgios Sermpinis ◽  
Jason Laws ◽  
Christian L. Dunis

2018 ◽  
Vol 56 (5) ◽  
pp. 1055-1072
Author(s):  
Tsung-Che Wu ◽  
Hung-Hsi Huang ◽  
Ching-Ping Wang ◽  
Yi-Lin Zhong

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