Cramér-type moderate deviations for statistics in the non-stationary Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process

Stochastics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 92 (3) ◽  
pp. 478-496
Author(s):  
Hui Jiang ◽  
Ning Zhang
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (03) ◽  
pp. 1950018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Jiang ◽  
Junfeng Liu ◽  
Shaochen Wang

In this paper, we consider the self-normalized asymptotic properties of the parameter estimators in the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. The deviation inequalities, Cramér-type moderate deviations and Berry–Esseen bounds are obtained. The main methods include the deviation inequalities and moderate deviations for multiple Wiener–Itô integrals [P. Major, Tail behavior of multiple integrals and U-statistics, Probab. Surv. 2 (2005) 448–505; On a multivariate version of Bernsteins inequality, Electron. J. Probab. 12 (2007) 966–988; M. Schulte and C. Thäle, Cumulants on Wiener chaos: Moderate deviations and the fourth moment theorem, J. Funct. Anal. 270 (2016) 2223–2248], as well as the Delta methods in large deviations [F. Q. Gao and X. Q. Zhao, Delta method in large deviations and moderate deviations for estimators, Ann. Statist. 39 (2011) 1211–1240]. For applications, we propose two test statistics which can be used to construct confidence intervals and rejection regions in the hypothesis testing for the drift coefficient. It is shown that the Type II errors tend to be zero exponential when using the proposed test statistics.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (02) ◽  
pp. 2150027
Author(s):  
Hui Jiang ◽  
Hui Liu

For the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process in stationary and explosive cases, this paper studies Cramér-type moderate deviations for the log-likelihood ratio process. As an application, we give the negative regions of drift testing problem, and also obtain the decay rates of the error probabilities. The main methods of this paper consist of mod-[Formula: see text] convergence approach, deviation inequalities for multiple Wiener–Itô integrals and asymptotic analysis techniques.


2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 450-483 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giacomo Ascione ◽  
Yuliya Mishura ◽  
Enrica Pirozzi

AbstractWe define a time-changed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process by composing a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with the inverse of a subordinator. Properties of the moments of such process are investigated and the existence of the density is shown. We also provide a generalized Fokker-Planck equation for the density of the process.


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