A TEST OF EFFICIENCY FOR THE CURRENCY OPTION MARKET USING STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY FORECASTS

Author(s):  
DAJIANG GUO
1996 ◽  
Vol 23 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 1307-1317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming-Shiun Pan ◽  
Ralph T. Hocking ◽  
Hong K. Rim

2005 ◽  
Vol 40 (4) ◽  
pp. 803-832 ◽  
Author(s):  
Buen Sin Low ◽  
Shaojun Zhang

AbstractThis study employs a non-parametric approach to investigate the volatility risk premium in the over-the-counter currency option market. Using a large database of daily delta-neutral straddle quotes in four major currencies—the British pound, the euro, the Japanese yen, and the Swiss franc—we find that volatility risk is priced in all four currencies across different option maturities. We find that the volatility risk premium is negative, with the premium decreasing in maturity. Finally, we also find evidence that jump risk may be priced in the currency option market.


2011 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 747-754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hung-Hsi Huang ◽  
Ching-Ping Wang ◽  
Shiau-Hung Chen

2004 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 23
Author(s):  
Marcelo Nóbrega da Costa ◽  
Joe Akira Yoshino

Despite the relatively recent advance in the derivative industry, the European FX option market uses simple models such as Black (1976) or Garman and Kohlhagen (1983). This widespread practice hides very important quantitative effects that could be better explored by using alternative pricing models such as the one that incorporates the stochastic volatility features. Understanding and calibrating this type of pricing model represents a challenge in the current state of art in financial engineering, specially in emerging markets that are characterized by strong volatilities, periodic changing regimes and in most case suffering of liquidity, specially during the crisis. In this sense, this paper shows how to implement the Hestons Model for the Brazilian FX option market. This approach uses the volatility matrix provided by a pool of domestic market players. Although the Hestons Model presents a formal analytical solution it does not require simulation-, the closed form solutions show a mathematical complexity. Thus, the main objective of this work is to implement this model in the Brazilian FX market.


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