Natural Experiments Methodology and Global Liquidity in Financial Markets

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christophe Majois



2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frederick Betz

Computer-based algorithms & models have become important in trading in financial markets. We illustrate the significance of model analysis of financial systems by a case study of BlackRock’s analytical platform called ‘Aladdin’. The nature of the model used in a computer algorithm is central to its real performance. Unreal models in financial algorithms will yield inaccurate performances. We review five fundamental models of economic dynamics: (1) traditional price-equilibrium of a commodity market, (2) Keynes-Minsky financial transactions over time, (3) price-disequilibrium of a financial market, (4) investment bank market disequilibrium process, and (5) disequilibrium financial grid of international capital flows. Empirically-valid graphic models are necessary – in order to methodologically develop societal-useful normative economic theory -- based upon the real natural-experiments of societies in economic history.



2008 ◽  
pp. 4-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Smirnov

In the article a simple model of stochastic credit bubble is proposed that has been growing over the recent years as a result of the global excess liquidity. That has given rise to formation of a random sequence of debt buyers clusters due to widespread practice of loan repayments with new debt issuance. Greatly increased positive feedbacks in the global market speed up the debt growth via structured financial instruments, and the debt bubble bursts at the critical value of global liquidity. The percolation process demonstrates how asset securitization and financial innovations might direct global system towards collapse. The model makes it possible to estimate the power law probability and time to a global collapse.



Author(s):  
Jakob de Haan ◽  
Sander Oosterloo ◽  
Dirk Schoenmaker


Author(s):  
Marek Capinski ◽  
Ekkehard Kopp


Author(s):  
Jakob de Haan ◽  
Sander Oosterloo ◽  
Dirk Schoenmaker


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