The Effect of Credit Supply Shocks on Economic Activity: A Threshold Vector Autoregression Approach

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua Wojnilower

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (73) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adonias Evaristo da Costa Filho

This paper studies the role of credit supply shocks in Brazil, throughBayesian Vector Autoregressions (BVARs) with sign restrictions. It isfound that credit supply shocks, either standalone or associated withthe bank lending channel of monetary policy, lead to relatively mildeects on output growth. Despite the credit deepening observed inthe last decade, credit shocks were not prominent drivers of businesscycles in Brazil.







Author(s):  
Laura Alfaro ◽  
Manuel Garcca-Santana ◽  
Enrique Moral-Benito


Author(s):  
Max Breitenlechner ◽  
Daniel Gründler ◽  
Gabriel P Mathy ◽  
Johann Scharler

Abstract At the peak of the Great Depression in mid-1931, Germany experienced a severe banking crisis. We study to what extent credit constraints contributed to the downturn by fitting a structural vector autoregressive model with data from January 1925 to September 1935. Adverse credit supply shocks contributed strongly to the downturn especially at the time of the 1931 banking crisis. Before that, credit supply shocks had also contributed to the expansion phase preceding the depression. We also find that aggregate demand and U.S. business cycle shocks were the primary drivers of the German Great Depression.



2018 ◽  
Vol 112 ◽  
pp. 219-237 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi ◽  
Andrea Ferrero ◽  
Alessandro Rebucci




2020 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
pp. 100773 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nadja Dwenger ◽  
Frank M. Fossen ◽  
Martin Simmler
Keyword(s):  


2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 49
Author(s):  
Beverly Acquah

This study investigates the dynamic interrelationships among stock prices and selected macroeconomic indicators namely; economic activity, global commodity price index, inflation and interest rates in Ghana. By employing a Vector Autoregression (VAR) Model, the empirical results reveal that stock prices depreciate with an increase in global commodity prices and interest rates indicating a negative relationship. On the other hand, stock prices appreciate with an increase in inflation and economic activity indicating a positive relationship. Examining stock market variability on the selected macroeconomic variables also showed that inflation and interest rates respond negatively to changes in asset prices while the stock market itself is not found to be a leading indicator for economic activity. The evidence suggests that the listed equities on the GSE are a hedge against inflation in Ghana. Increasing economic activity over time is advantageous for the Ghanaian stock market.



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