scholarly journals First Passage and Collective Marks

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Yiping Zhang ◽  
Myron Hlynka ◽  
Percy H. Brill

Probability generating functions for first passage times of Markov chains are found using the method of collective marks. A system of equations is found which can be used to obtain moments of the first passage times. Second passage probabilities are discussed.

1989 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Abate ◽  
Ward Whitt

The distribution of upward first passage times in skip-free Markov chains can be expressed solely in terms of the eigenvalues in the spectral representation, without performing a separate calculation to determine the eigenvectors. We provide insight into this result and skip-free Markov chains more generally by showing that part of the spectral theory developed for birth-and-death processes extends to skip-free chains. We show that the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of skip-free chains can be characterized in terms of recursively defined polynomials. Moreover, the Laplace transform of the upward first passage time from 0 to n is the reciprocal of the nth polynomial. This simple relationship holds because the Laplace transforms of the first passage times satisfy the same recursion as the polynomials except for a normalization.


1995 ◽  
Vol 32 (02) ◽  
pp. 349-374
Author(s):  
William Rising

A generalization of the familiar birth–death chain, called the geometric chain, is introduced and explored. By the introduction of two families of parameters in addition to the infinitesimal birth and death rates, the geometric chain allows transitions beyond the nearest neighbor, but is shown to retain the simple computational formulas of the birth–death chain for the stationary distribution and the expected first-passage times between states. It is also demonstrated that even when not reversible, a reversed geometric chain is again a geometric chain.


2007 ◽  
Vol 24 (06) ◽  
pp. 813-829 ◽  
Author(s):  
JEFFREY J. HUNTER

The derivation of mean first passage times in Markov chains involves the solution of a family of linear equations. By exploring the solution of a related set of equations, using suitable generalized inverses of the Markovian kernel I - P, where P is the transition matrix of a finite irreducible Markov chain, we are able to derive elegant new results for finding the mean first passage times. As a by-product we derive the stationary distribution of the Markov chain without the necessity of any further computational procedures. Standard techniques in the literature, using for example Kemeny and Snell's fundamental matrix Z, require the initial derivation of the stationary distribution followed by the computation of Z, the inverse of I - P + eπT where eT = (1, 1, …, 1) and πT is the stationary probability vector. The procedures of this paper involve only the derivation of the inverse of a matrix of simple structure, based upon known characteristics of the Markov chain together with simple elementary vectors. No prior computations are required. Various possible families of matrices are explored leading to different related procedures.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document