A new early warning indicator of abrupt climate change based on the changing normalized dynamic range

Author(s):  
Qiong Wu ◽  
Xiao‐qiang Xie ◽  
Ying Mei ◽  
Wen‐ping He

2008 ◽  
Vol 105 (38) ◽  
pp. 14308-14312 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Dakos ◽  
M. Scheffer ◽  
E. H. van Nes ◽  
V. Brovkin ◽  
V. Petoukhov ◽  
...  


2013 ◽  
Vol 62 (5) ◽  
pp. 059202
Author(s):  
Wu Hao ◽  
Feng Guo-Lin ◽  
Hou Wei ◽  
Yan Peng-Cheng




2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (15) ◽  
pp. 5672-5687
Author(s):  
Xiao‐Qiang Xie ◽  
Wen‐Ping He ◽  
Bin Gu ◽  
Ying Mei ◽  
Jinsong Wang


2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (11) ◽  
pp. 6863-6876 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao-qiang Xie ◽  
Wen-ping He ◽  
Bin Gu ◽  
Ying Mei ◽  
Shan-shan Zhao






Author(s):  
Bernhard Weninger ◽  
Lee Clare

Recent advances in palaeoclimatological and meteorological research, combined with new radiocarbon data from western Anatolia and southeast Europe, lead us to formulate a new hypothesis for the temporal and spatial dispersal of Neolithic lifeways from their core areas of genesis. The new hypothesis, which we term the Abrupt Climate Change (ACC) Neolithization Model, incorporates a number of insights from modern vulnerability theory. We focus here on the Late Neolithic (Anatolian terminology), which is followed in the Balkans by the Early Neolithic (European terminology). From high-resolution 14C-case studies, we infer an initial (very rapid) west-directed movement of early farming communities out of the Central Anatolian Plateau towards the Turkish Aegean littoral. This move is exactly in phase (decadal scale) with the onset of ACC conditions (~6600 cal BC). Upon reaching the Aegean coastline, Neolithic dispersal comes to a halt. It is not until some 500 years later—that is, at the close of cumulative ACC and 8.2 ka cal BP Hudson Bay cold conditions—that there occurs a second abrupt movement of farming communities into Southeast Europe, as far as the Pannonian Basin. The spread of early farming from Anatolia into eastern Central Europe is best explained as Neolithic communities’ mitigation of biophysical and social vulnerability to natural (climate-induced) hazards.



Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document