We consider spectrally positive Lévy processes with regularly varying Lévy measure and study conditional limit theorems that describe the way that various rare events occur. Specifically, we are interested in the asymptotic behaviour of the distribution of the path of the Lévy process (appropriately scaled) up to some fixed time, conditionally on the event that the process exceeds a (large) positive value at that time. Another rare event we study is the occurrence of a large maximum value up to a fixed time, and the corresponding asymptotic behaviour of the (scaled) Lévy process path. We study these distributional limit theorems both for a centred Lévy process and for one with negative drift. In the latter case, we also look at the reflected process, which is of importance in applications. Our techniques are based on the explicit representation of the Lévy process in terms of a two-dimensional Poisson random measure and merely use the Poissonian properties and regular variation estimates. We also provide a proof for the asymptotic behaviour of the tail of the stationary distribution for the reflected process. The work is motivated by earlier results for discrete-time random walks (e.g. Durrett (1980) and Asmussen (1996)) and also by their applications in risk and queueing theory.
Limit theorems of SDEs driven by Lévy processes and application to nonlinear filtering problems
