scholarly journals Bayesian analysis of repairable systems with modulated power law process

2017 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 357-373 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yincai Tang ◽  
Jiayu Fu ◽  
Wenchen Liu ◽  
Ancha Xu
Author(s):  
M. G. RICHARDSON ◽  
A. P. BASU

The reliability of a repairable system that is either improving or deteriorating depends on the system's chronological age. If such a system undergoes "minimal repair" at the occurrence of each failure so that the rate of system failures is not disturbed by the repair, then a nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) may be used to model the "age-dependent" reliability of the system. The power law process (PLP) is a model within the class of NHPP models and is commonly used as a model for describing the failure times of a repairable system. We introduce a new model that is an extension of the PLP model: the power law process change-point model. This model is capable of describing the failure times of particular types of repairable systems that experience a single change in their rates of occurrence of failures. Bayesian inference procedures for this model are developed.


1998 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 395-400 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven E. Rigdon ◽  
Xiaolin Ma ◽  
Kevin M. Bodden

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