A note on the calculation of default probabilities in “Structural credit risk modeling with Hawkes jump–diffusion processes”

2021 ◽  
Vol 381 ◽  
pp. 113037
Author(s):  
Puneet Pasricha ◽  
Xiaoping Lu ◽  
Song-Ping Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Diffusion Processes ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Risk Modeling ◽  
Jump Diffusion Processes ◽  
Credit Risk Modeling

scholarly journals Is the Jump-Diffusion Model a Good Solution for Credit Risk Modeling? The Case of Convertible Bonds

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Diffusion Model ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Convertible Bonds ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Risk Modeling ◽  
Jump Diffusion Model ◽  
Credit Risk Modeling ◽  
Arbitrage Strategy

This paper argues that the reduced-form jump diffusion model may not be appropriate for credit risk modeling. To correctly value hybrid defaultable financial instruments, e.g., convertible bonds, we present a new framework that relies on the probability distribution of a default jump rather than the default jump itself, as the default jump is usually inaccessible. As such, the model can back out the market prices of convertible bonds. A prevailing belief in the market is that convertible arbitrage is mainly due to convertible underpricing. Empirically, however, we do not find evidence supporting the underpricing hypothesis. Instead, we find that convertibles have relatively large positive gammas. As a typical convertible arbitrage strategy employs delta-neutral hedging, a large positive gamma can make the portfolio highly profitable, especially for a large movement in the underlying stock price.

scholarly journals Power Exchange Option with a Hybrid Credit Risk under Jump-Diffusion Model

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 53
Author(s):  
Junkee Jeon ◽  
Geonwoo Kim
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Structural Model ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Diffusion Processes ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Jump Diffusion Processes ◽  
Power Exchange ◽  
Jump Diffusion Model ◽  
Exchange Option

In this paper, we study the valuation of power exchange options with a correlated hybrid credit risk when the underlying assets follow the jump-diffusion processes. The hybrid credit risk model is constructed using two credit risk models (the reduced-form model and the structural model), and the jump-diffusion processes are proposed based on the assumptions of Merton. We assume that the dynamics of underlying assets have correlated continuous terms as well as idiosyncratic and common jump terms. Under the proposed model, we derive the explicit pricing formula of the power exchange option using the measure change technique with multidimensional Girsanov’s theorem. Finally, the formula is presented as the normal cumulative functions and the infinite sums.

scholarly journals Is the Jump-Diffusion Model a Good Solution for Credit Risk Modeling? The Case of Convertible Bonds

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Diffusion Model ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Convertible Bonds ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Risk Modeling ◽  
Jump Diffusion Model ◽  
Credit Risk Modeling ◽  
Arbitrage Strategy

This paper argues that the reduced-form jump diffusion model may not be appropriate for credit risk modeling. To correctly value hybrid defaultable financial instruments, e.g., convertible bonds, we present a new framework that relies on the probability distribution of a default jump rather than the default jump itself, as the default jump is usually inaccessible. As such, the model can back out the market prices of convertible bonds. A prevailing belief in the market is that convertible arbitrage is mainly due to convertible underpricing. Empirically, however, we do not find evidence supporting the underpricing hypothesis. Instead, we find that convertibles have relatively large positive gammas. As a typical convertible arbitrage strategy employs delta-neutral hedging, a large positive gamma can make the portfolio highly profitable, especially for a large movement in the underlying stock price.

scholarly journals Is the Jump-Diffusion Model a Good Solution for Credit Risk Modeling? The Case of Convertible Bonds

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Diffusion Model ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Convertible Bonds ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Risk Modeling ◽  
Jump Diffusion Model ◽  
Credit Risk Modeling ◽  
Arbitrage Strategy

This paper argues that the reduced-form jump diffusion model may not be appropriate for credit risk modeling. To correctly value hybrid defaultable financial instruments, e.g., convertible bonds, we present a new framework that relies on the probability distribution of a default jump rather than the default jump itself, as the default jump is usually inaccessible. As such, the model can back out the market prices of convertible bonds. A prevailing belief in the market is that convertible arbitrage is mainly due to convertible underpricing. Empirically, however, we do not find evidence supporting the underpricing hypothesis. Instead, we find that convertibles have relatively large positive gammas. As a typical convertible arbitrage strategy employs delta-neutral hedging, a large positive gamma can make the portfolio highly profitable, especially for a large movement in the underlying stock price.

scholarly journals Is the Jump-Diffusion Model a Good Solution for Credit Risk Modeling? The Case of Convertible Bonds

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Diffusion Model ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Convertible Bonds ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
Risk Modeling ◽  
Jump Diffusion Model ◽  
Credit Risk Modeling ◽  
Arbitrage Strategy

This paper argues that the reduced-form jump diffusion model may not be appropriate for credit risk modeling. To correctly value hybrid defaultable financial instruments, e.g., convertible bonds, we present a new framework that relies on the probability distribution of a default jump rather than the default jump itself, as the default jump is usually inaccessible. As such, the model can back out the market prices of convertible bonds. A prevailing belief in the market is that convertible arbitrage is mainly due to convertible underpricing. Empirically, however, we do not find evidence supporting the underpricing hypothesis. Instead, we find that convertibles have relatively large positive gammas. As a typical convertible arbitrage strategy employs delta-neutral hedging, a large positive gamma can make the portfolio highly profitable, especially for a large movement in the underlying stock price.

Pricing Vulnerable Options with Correlated Credit Risk Under Jump-Diffusion Processes

2013 ◽  
Vol 34 (10) ◽  
pp. 957-979 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lihui Tian ◽  
Guanying Wang ◽  
Xingchun Wang ◽  
Yongjin Wang
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Diffusion Processes ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Jump Diffusion Processes ◽  
Vulnerable Options
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