Abstract. Desert regions of northern China have always been the most severely affected by climate change, especially in terms of their ecological integrity and social sustainable development. Assessments of dryness in both space and time are central to the development of adaptation strategies to climate change. Earlier studies have identified long-term patterns of dryness in northern China, but these studies have usually been of limited value to land-management planning as they ignore local-to-regional-scale climate features. To identify potential cause-and-effect relationship between aridity and vegetation cover, changes in aridity index (AI) and vegetation cover were tracked with the assistance of a chronological series of surfaces based on the mapping of AI and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and convergent cross mapping. By tracking regional-scale variation in precipitation, air temperature, AI from 1961–2013 (53 years), and vegetation cover dynamics from 1982–2013 (32 years), we show that precipitation increased in approximately 70 % of the greater desert region, including in the Ulanbuh, Tengger, Badain Jaran, Qaidam, Kumtag, Gurbantunggut, and Taklimakan Deserts. This increase was statistically strongest for the Gurbantunggut (p
Relating historical vegetation cover to aridity index patterns in the greater desert region of northern China: Implications to planned and existing restoration projects