A hybrid dynamic and fuzzy time series model for mid-term power load forecasting

Author(s):  
Woo-Joo Lee ◽  
Jinkyu Hong
2003 ◽  
Vol 36 (20) ◽  
pp. 985-990 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jong-Man Cho ◽  
Jin-Hack Kim ◽  
Woo-Hyun Park ◽  
Yun-ho Lee ◽  
Jin-O Kim

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaojuan Liu ◽  
Jian’an Fang

Load forecasting problem is a complex nonlinear problem linked with economic and weather factors. Long-term load forecasting provides useful information for maintenance scheduling, adequacy assessment, and limited energy resources for electrical power systems. Fuzzy time series forecasting models can be used for long-term load forecasting. However, the interval length has been chosen arbitrarily in the implementations of known fuzzy time series forecasting models, which has an important impact on the performance of these models. In this paper, a time-variant ratio multiobjective optimization fuzzy time series model (TV-RMOP) is proposed, and its performance is tested on the prediction of enrollment at the University of Alabama. Results clearly promote the forecasting accuracy as compared to the conventional models. A genetic algorithm is used to search for the length of intervals based on the training data while Pareto optimality theory provides the necessary conditions to identify an optimal one. The TV-RMOP model is applied for the long-term load forecasting in Shanghai of China.


2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (9) ◽  
pp. 562-566
Author(s):  
Ramin Rzayev ◽  
◽  
Musa Agamaliyev ◽  
Nijat Askerov

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