Make-to-order supply chain coordination through option contract with random yields and overconfidence

Author(s):  
Lingling Wang ◽  
Yong Wu ◽  
Shengqiang Hu
2015 ◽  
Vol 80 ◽  
pp. 274-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meiling Luo ◽  
Gang Li ◽  
C.L. Johnny Wan ◽  
Rong Qu ◽  
Ping Ji

Author(s):  
Zhongyi Liu ◽  
Shengya Hua ◽  
Guanying Wang

We investigate vulnerable supply chain coordination with an option contract in the presence of supply chain disruption risk caused by external and internal disturbances. The supply chain consists of a single risk-neutral supplier and a risk-averse retailer. We characterize the retailer’s order quantity decision under the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) criterion and the supplier’s production decision. The results show that facing disruption risk and risk-aversion, both the retailer and the supplier would be more prudent to order and produce less than the risk-neutral scenario, inducing damage to the supply chain performance. The number of options purchased is decreasing in disruption risk and the risk-aversion of the retailer. The supplier will increase production as the disruption risk decreases or the shortage penalty increases. When the supplier does not know the risk-aversion of the retailer, the former will produce more and bear a higher overstock risk. We also investigate conditions that facilitate vulnerable supply chain coordination and find that the existence of risk-aversion and disruption risk restrict the option price and exercise price to lower price levels. Finally, we compare the option contract with wholesale price contract from the supplier’s and retailer’s perspectives through a numerical study.


2018 ◽  
pp. 503-522 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masoud Rabbani ◽  
Neda Manavizadeh ◽  
Hamed Vafa Arani ◽  
Safoura Famil Alamdar

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