scholarly journals On asymptotic properties of sub-critical branching processes

1968 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 671-682 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Seneta

Let Zn be the numer of individuals in the nth generation of a discrete branching process, descended from a single a singel ancestor, for which we put It is well known that the probability generating function of Zn is Fn(s), the n-th functional iterate of F(s), and that if m = EZ1 does not exceed unity, then lim (Harris [1], Chapter 1). In particular, extinction is certain.

1971 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 589-598 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krishna B. Athreya

The functional equation ϕ(mu) = h(ϕ(u)) where is a probability generating function with 1 < m = h'(1 –) < ∞ and where F(t) is a non-decreasing right continuous function with F(0 –) = 0, F(0 +) < 1 and F(+ ∞) = 1 arises in a Galton-Watson process in a natural way. We prove here that for any if and only if This unifies several results in the literature on the supercritical Galton-Watson process. We generalize this to an age dependent branching process case as well.


1971 ◽  
Vol 8 (03) ◽  
pp. 589-598 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krishna B. Athreya

The functional equation ϕ(mu) = h(ϕ(u)) where is a probability generating function with 1 &lt; m = h'(1 –) &lt; ∞ and where F(t) is a non-decreasing right continuous function with F(0 –) = 0, F(0 +) &lt; 1 and F(+ ∞) = 1 arises in a Galton-Watson process in a natural way. We prove here that for any if and only if This unifies several results in the literature on the supercritical Galton-Watson process. We generalize this to an age dependent branching process case as well.


1966 ◽  
Vol 3 (01) ◽  
pp. 261-267 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. R. Heathcote ◽  
E. Seneta

Summary If F(s) is the probability generating function of a non-negative random variable, the nth functional iterate Fn (s) = Fn– 1 (F(s)) generates the distribution of the size of the nth generation of a simple branching process. In general it is not possible to obtain explicit formulae for many quantities involving Fn (s), and this paper considers certain bounds and approximations. Bounds are found for the Koenigs-type iterates lim n→∞ m −n {1−Fn (s)}, 0 ≦ s ≦ 1 where m = F′ (1) &lt; 1 and F′′ (1) &lt; ∞; for the expected time to extinction and for the limiting conditional-distribution generating function limn→∞{Fn (s) − Fn (0)} [1 – Fn (0)]–1. Particular attention is paid to the case F(s) = exp {m(s − 1)}.


1970 ◽  
Vol 7 (02) ◽  
pp. 446-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
John F. Reynolds

We consider a population which evolves at discrete points in time by branching and immigration, and in which each member reproduces independently of all others. Let Fn (x) denote the probability generating function (P.G.F.) of the number of offspring produced by each member of the nth generation, Bn– 1(x) the P.G.F. of the number of immigrants joining the nth generation and Zn the population size in the nth generation. We write


1991 ◽  
Vol 28 (03) ◽  
pp. 520-528
Author(s):  
V. G. Gadag ◽  
R. P. Gupta

Consider a time-homogeneous Markov branching process. We construct reduced processes, based on whether the length of line of descent of particles of this process are (a) greater than or (b) at most equal to, τ units of time, for some fixed τ ≧ 0. We show that in both cases the reduced processes retain the branching property, but the latter does not retain the time homogeneity. We investigate finite-time and asymptotic properties of the reduced processes. Based on a realization of the original process and a realization of a reduced process, observed continuously over a time interval [0, T] for T &gt; 0, we propose estimators for the different parameters involved, including qτ , the probability that the original process becomes extinct before τ units of time, and f (j)(qτ ), the jth derivative of the offspring probability generating function f(s) at q τ when q τ is known. We study the properties of these estimators and derive their asymptotic distributions, under the assumption that the original process is supercritical.


1978 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 235-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin I. Goldstein

Let Z(t) ··· (Z1(t), …, Zk (t)) be an indecomposable critical k-type age-dependent branching process with generating function F(s, t). Denote the right and left eigenvalues of the mean matrix M by u and v respectively and suppose μ is the vector of mean lifetimes, i.e. Mu = u, vM = v.It is shown that, under second moment assumptions, uniformly for s ∈ ([0, 1]k of the form s = 1 – cu, c a constant. Here vμ is the componentwise product of the vectors and Q[u] is a constant.This result is then used to give a new proof of the exponential limit law.


1978 ◽  
Vol 15 (02) ◽  
pp. 235-242
Author(s):  
Martin I. Goldstein

Let Z(t) ··· (Z 1(t), …, Zk (t)) be an indecomposable critical k-type age-dependent branching process with generating function F(s, t). Denote the right and left eigenvalues of the mean matrix M by u and v respectively and suppose μ is the vector of mean lifetimes, i.e. Mu = u, vM = v. It is shown that, under second moment assumptions, uniformly for s ∈ ([0, 1] k of the form s = 1 – cu, c a constant. Here vμ is the componentwise product of the vectors and Q[u] is a constant. This result is then used to give a new proof of the exponential limit law.


1991 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 520-528
Author(s):  
V. G. Gadag ◽  
R. P. Gupta

Consider a time-homogeneous Markov branching process. We construct reduced processes, based on whether the length of line of descent of particles of this process are (a) greater than or (b) at most equal to, τ units of time, for some fixed τ ≧ 0. We show that in both cases the reduced processes retain the branching property, but the latter does not retain the time homogeneity. We investigate finite-time and asymptotic properties of the reduced processes. Based on a realization of the original process and a realization of a reduced process, observed continuously over a time interval [0, T] for T > 0, we propose estimators for the different parameters involved, including qτ, the probability that the original process becomes extinct before τ units of time, and f(j)(qτ), the jth derivative of the offspring probability generating function f(s) at qτ when qτ is known. We study the properties of these estimators and derive their asymptotic distributions, under the assumption that the original process is supercritical.


1970 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 446-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
John F. Reynolds

We consider a population which evolves at discrete points in time by branching and immigration, and in which each member reproduces independently of all others. Let Fn(x) denote the probability generating function (P.G.F.) of the number of offspring produced by each member of the nth generation, Bn–1(x) the P.G.F. of the number of immigrants joining the nth generation and Zn the population size in the nth generation. We write


1966 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 261-267 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. R. Heathcote ◽  
E. Seneta

SummaryIf F(s) is the probability generating function of a non-negative random variable, the nth functional iterate Fn(s) = Fn–1 (F(s)) generates the distribution of the size of the nth generation of a simple branching process. In general it is not possible to obtain explicit formulae for many quantities involving Fn(s), and this paper considers certain bounds and approximations. Bounds are found for the Koenigs-type iterates limn→∞m−n {1−Fn(s)}, 0 ≦ s ≦ 1 where m = F′(1) < 1 and F′′(1) < ∞; for the expected time to extinction and for the limiting conditional-distribution generating function limn→∞{Fn(s) − Fn(0)} [1 – Fn(0)]–1. Particular attention is paid to the case F(s) = exp {m(s − 1)}.


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