Discussion of “Potential Assessment of Neural Network and Decision Tree Algorithms for Forecasting Ambient PM2.5 and CO Concentrations: Case Study” by Chandrra Sekar, B. R. Gurjar, C. S. P. Ojha, and Manish Kumar Goyal

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 07017001
Author(s):  
Salar Khani ◽  
Taher Rajaee ◽  
Masoud Ravansalar
Author(s):  
Tanujit Chakraborty

Decision tree algorithms have been among the most popular algorithms for interpretable (transparent) machine learning since the early 1980s. On the other hand, deep learning methods have boosted the capacity of machine learning algorithms and are now being used for non-trivial applications in various applied domains. But training a fully-connected deep feed-forward network by gradient-descent backpropagation is slow and requires arbitrary choices regarding the number of hidden units and layers. In this paper, we propose near-optimal neural regression trees, intending to make it much faster than deep feed-forward networks and for which it is not essential to specify the number of hidden units in the hidden layers of the neural network in advance. The key idea is to construct a decision tree and then simulate the decision tree with a neural network. This work aims to build a mathematical formulation of neural trees and gain the complementary benefits of both sparse optimal decision trees and neural trees. We propose near-optimal sparse neural trees (NSNT) that is shown to be asymptotically consistent and robust in nature. Additionally, the proposed NSNT model obtain a fast rate of convergence which is near-optimal up to some logarithmic factor. We comprehensively benchmark the proposed method on a sample of 80 datasets (40 classification datasets and 40 regression datasets) from the UCI machine learning repository. We establish that the proposed method is likely to outperform the current state-of-the-art methods (random forest, XGBoost, optimal classification tree, and near-optimal nonlinear trees) for the majority of the datasets.


Author(s):  
Tanujit Chakraborty ◽  
Tanmoy Chakraborty

Decision tree algorithms have been among the most popular algorithms for interpretable (transparent) machine learning since the early 1980s. On the other hand, deep learning methods have boosted the capacity of machine learning algorithms and are now being used for non-trivial applications in various applied domains. But training a fully-connected deep feed-forward network by gradient-descent backpropagation is slow and requires arbitrary choices regarding the number of hidden units and layers. In this paper, we propose near-optimal neural regression trees, intending to make it much faster than deep feed-forward networks and for which it is not essential to specify the number of hidden units in the hidden layers of the neural network in advance. The key idea is to construct a decision tree and then simulate the decision tree with a neural network. This work aims to build a mathematical formulation of neural trees and gain the complementary benefits of both sparse optimal decision trees and neural trees. We propose near-optimal sparse neural trees (NSNT) that is shown to be asymptotically consistent and robust in nature. Additionally, the proposed NSNT model obtain a fast rate of convergence which is near-optimal upto some logarithmic factor. We comprehensively benchmark the proposed method on a sample of 80 datasets (40 classification datasets and 40 regression datasets) from the UCI machine learning repository. We establish that the proposed method is likely to outperform the current state-of-the-art methods (random forest, XGBoost, optimal classification tree, and near-optimal nonlinear trees) for the majority of the datasets.


2013 ◽  
Vol 68 (12) ◽  
pp. 2521-2526 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. R. Senthil kumar ◽  
Manish Kumar Goyal ◽  
C. S. P. Ojha ◽  
R. D. Singh ◽  
P. K. Swamee

The prediction of streamflow is required in many activities associated with the planning and operation of the components of a water resources system. Soft computing techniques have proven to be an efficient alternative to traditional methods for modelling qualitative and quantitative water resource variables such as streamflow, etc. The focus of this paper is to present the development of models using multiple linear regression (MLR), artificial neural network (ANN), fuzzy logic and decision tree algorithms such as M5 and REPTree for predicting the streamflow at Kasol located at the upstream of Bhakra reservoir in Sutlej basin in northern India. The input vector to the various models using different algorithms was derived considering statistical properties such as auto-correlation function, partial auto-correlation and cross-correlation function of the time series. It was found that REPtree model performed well compared to other soft computing techniques such as MLR, ANN, fuzzy logic, and M5P investigated in this study and the results of the REPTree model indicate that the entire range of streamflow values were simulated fairly well. The performance of the naïve persistence model was compared with other models and the requirement of the development of the naïve persistence model was also analysed by persistence index.


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