Triangular Numbers and the N-Sided Die Optimal Stopping Problem

2021 ◽  
Vol 94 (4) ◽  
pp. 281-287
Author(s):  
Bennett Eisenberg
1973 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 297-312 ◽  
Author(s):  
William M. Boyce

2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (03) ◽  
pp. 885-889 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomomi Matsui ◽  
Katsunori Ano

In this note we present a bound of the optimal maximum probability for the multiplicative odds theorem of optimal stopping theory. We deal with an optimal stopping problem that maximizes the probability of stopping on any of the last m successes of a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials of length N, where m and N are predetermined integers satisfying 1 ≤ m < N. This problem is an extension of Bruss' (2000) odds problem. In a previous work, Tamaki (2010) derived an optimal stopping rule. We present a lower bound of the optimal probability. Interestingly, our lower bound is attained using a variation of the well-known secretary problem, which is a special case of the odds problem.


1969 ◽  
pp. 87-145
Author(s):  
Evgenii B. Dynkin ◽  
Aleksandr A. Yushkevich

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Xiankang Luo ◽  
Jie Xing

This study investigates valuation of guaranteed minimum maturity benefits (GMMB) in variable annuity contract in the case where the guarantees can be surrendered at any time prior to the maturity. In the event of the option being exercised early, early surrender charges will be applied. We model the underlying mutual fund dynamics under regime-switching volatility. The valuation problem can be reduced to an American option pricing problem, which is essentially an optimal stopping problem. Then, we obtain the pricing partial differential equation by a standard Markovian argument. A detailed discussion shows that the solution of the problem involves an optimal surrender boundary. The properties of the optimal surrender boundary are given. The regime-switching Volterra-type integral equation of the optimal surrender boundary is derived by probabilistic methods. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis is performed for the optimal surrender decision. In the end, we adopt the trinomial tree method to determine the optimal strategy.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document