In Defence of the Dutch Book Argument

1985 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 405-423 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barbara Davidson ◽  
Robert Pargetter
Keyword(s):  
Rational Belief ◽  
Dutch Book ◽  
Epistemic Probability ◽  
True Probability ◽  
Dutch Book Argument ◽  
Probability Calculus ◽  
Fine Grained ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Probability Concept

A starting point for this paper is that there is at least one concept of probability, call it epistemic probability, which can be identified with belief or some sort of idealised belief (e.g., rational belief). If this identification is to be of any significance, then it needs to be shown that epistemic probability is a ‘true’ probability concept and is subject to those restrictions and requirements which relate and govern probabilities, which we call the probability calculus.The most rehearsed argument to establish the probability calculus for epistemic probabilities is the Dutch Book Argument (DBA). There are two intuitions behind the DBA. The first is that if we can find some fine-grained behavioural measure of epistemic probability, then we may be able to show that epistemic probabilities obey the probability calculus by showing that the behaviour is of a kind which is, as a matter of necessity, subject to certain limitations and restrictions.

Consistency and Epistemic Probability

1998 ◽  
pp. 211-216
Author(s):  
Doris Olin
Keyword(s):  
Rational Belief ◽  
Traditional View ◽  
Epistemic Probability ◽  
Minimum Requirement ◽  
Probability Calculus ◽  
Alternate Model ◽  
Analogous Reasoning

Is consistency always epistemically virtuous? In this paper, I examine one threat to the traditional view that consistency is a minimum requirement for rational belief. Central to the argument is the notion of epistemic probability, understood as the degree of support or confirmation provided by the total available evidence. My strategy in examining this argument is to apply analogous reasoning to carefully tailored examples. The conclusions which emerge are substantive, informative and utterly implausible. I conclude, first, that the argument for inconsistency fails and, second, that it fails because epistemic probability does not conform to the axioms of the probability calculus. A plausible alternate model for determining degree of support is briefly considered.

Counting on Carrington Road: Street Numbers as Metonyms of the Urban

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 433-450 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandra Crosby ◽  
Kirsten Seale
Keyword(s):  
Visual Presentation ◽  
Creative Industries ◽  
Creative Economy ◽  
Top Down ◽  
Fine Grained ◽  
Creative City ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Urban Futures ◽  
Post Industrial ◽  
The City

As urban renewal agendas are fortified in cities globally, ‘creativity’ – as contained within discourses of the creative industries, the Creative City and the creative economy – is circulated as the currency of secure post-industrial urban futures. Using the nexus between creativity and the urban as a starting point, the authors investigate how local enterprises visually communicate the urban in a neighbourhood that is characterized by the interface between manufacturing and creative industries. This research takes a fine-grained approach to the notion of creativity through an audit and qualitative analysis of the visual presentation, material attributes and semiotic meaning of street numbers. The authors do this by collecting data on and analysing how street numbers have been made, selected, used, replaced and layered in a contested industrial precinct in Australia’s largest city, Sydney. They contend that street numbers, as a ubiquitous technology within the city that is both operational and creative, are metonyms for what they understand to be urban. In arguing for vernacular readings of the city, they make use of a top-down, governmental mode of reading the city – the operational legibility of street numbering – as an intervention in current discourses of the urban and of creativity in the city.

A Tool for Discourse Analysis and Visualization

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Costin-Gabriel Chiru ◽  
Stefan Trausan-Matu
Keyword(s):  
Discourse Analysis ◽  
Intrinsic Structure ◽  
Fine Grained ◽  
Construction Of Knowledge ◽  
Cultural Paradigms ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Social Construction Of Knowledge ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Polyphonic Model

In this paper the authors present a system that combines the cognitive and socio-cultural paradigms in the field of discourse analysis in order to analyze both texts written by only one author (for example narrations) and those written collaboratively (chat conversations, blogs, wikis, forums). The novelty of their approach is that the majority of the existing applications are oriented on analyzing only one of these two types, an adaptation being necessary for the analysis of the other type. Another advantage of the presented system is that since it is centered on a dialogistic polyphonic model considering topics as inter-animated voices, it could show the difference between coarse- and fine-grained coherence in discourse, therefore allowing the analysis of a text from two different viewpoints: a) its intrinsic structure and cohesion and b) how well this text fits in a stream of texts (whether it is or not cohesive with the texts before and after it). The dialogistic polyphonic model was used as a starting point for a method for analyzing collaboration and social construction of knowledge in groups and communities using textual interactions, and for several implemented systems for providing computerized support to the analysis method through visualizations and feedback generation.

scholarly journals Interpersonal violence and mental health: a social justice framework to advance research and practice

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
W.A. Tol
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Social Justice ◽  
Interpersonal Violence ◽  
Global Mental Health ◽  
Research And Practice ◽  
Fine Grained ◽  
Special Series ◽  
Conceptual Clarity ◽  
Starting Point ◽  
Social Justice Theory

Abstract This editorial paper accompanies a special series in the journal Global Mental Health focused on the topic of interpersonal violence and mental health. This series included 24 papers reporting on data from 31 countries, published between 2017 and 2019. This accompanying paper provides a short summary of findings in the special series and reflects on next steps in research and practice. Collectively, the series’ 24 papers suggest intricate bi-directional relationships between interpersonal violence and mental health, situated in particular contexts and varying across the life course. In order to study this complexity, an overarching theoretical framework is critical. This paper takes the social justice theory developed by Powers and Faden (2006, 2019) as a starting point. It is argued that application of this social justice framework will be helpful to: strengthen conceptual clarity; provide a sense of direction for research and practice in the area of interpersonal violence and mental health; assist in conducting more fine grained analyses of contextually determined processes of disadvantage; and help situate disciplinary specific research and practice questions in their broader context, thereby strengthening multi-disciplinary research and multi-sectoral policy and programming efforts.

A New Group Dutch Book Argument

Ratio ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 122-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew Kopec
Keyword(s):  
Dutch Book ◽  
Dutch Book Argument
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document