Financial and geophysical data, like many other low and high frequency time series, are known to exhibit some memory effects. These memory effects may be long or short, permanent or temporal depending on the event that is being modeled. The purpose of this study is to investigate the memory effects characterized by the financial market closing values and volcanic eruption time series as well as to investigate the relation between the self-similar models used and the Lévy process. This paper uses highly effective scaling methods including Lévy processes, Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) and Diffusion Entropy Analysis (DEA) to examine long-range persistence behavior in time series by estimating their respective parameters. We use the parameter of the Lévy process (α) characterizing the data and the scaling parameters of DFA (H) and DEA (δ) characterizing the self-similar property to generate a relationship between the three (3) aforementioned scaling methods. Findings from the numerical simulations confirm the existence of long-range persistence (long-memory behavior) in both the financial and geophysical time series. Furthermore, the numerical results from this study indicates an approximate inverse relationship between the parameter of the Lévy process and the scaling parameters of the DFA and DEA (i.e., H , δ ≈ 1 α ), which we prove analytically.
Expansion and estimation of Lévy process functionals in nonlinear and nonstationary time series regression