Micro-Risk Propagation Model Based on Time Fluctuation Factor

Author(s):  
Yangyuanxiang Xu ◽  
Yawei Zhao ◽  
Bing Xu
Author(s):  
Yunpeng Xiao ◽  
Wen Li ◽  
Shuai Qiang ◽  
Qian Li ◽  
Hanchun Xiao ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Andrey Morozov ◽  
Thomas Mutzke ◽  
Kai Ding

Abstract Modern technical systems consist of heterogeneous components, including mechanical parts, hardware, and the extensive software part that allows the autonomous system operation. The heterogeneity and autonomy require appropriate models that can describe the mutual interaction of the components. UML and SysML are widely accepted candidates for system modeling and model-based analysis in early design phases, including the analysis of reliability properties. UML and SysML models are semi-formal. Thus, transformation methods to formal models are required. Recently, we introduced a stochastic Dual-graph Error Propagation Model (DEPM). This model captures control and data flow structures of a system and allows the computation of advanced risk metrics using probabilistic model checking techniques. This article presents a new automated transformation method of an annotated State Machine Diagram, extended with Activity Diagrams, to a hierarchical DEPM. This method will help reliability engineers to keep error propagation models up to date and ensure their consistency with the available system models. The capabilities and limitations of transformation algorithm is described in detail and demonstrated on a complete model-based error propagation analysis of an autonomous medical patient table.


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