scholarly journals Short-Term and Medium-Term Reliability Evaluation for Power Systems With High Penetration of Wind Power

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 896-906 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Ding ◽  
Chanan Singh ◽  
Lalit Goel ◽  
Jacob Ostergaard ◽  
Peng Wang
Author(s):  
Johan S. Obando ◽  
Gabriel González ◽  
Ricardo Moreno

The high integration of wind energy in power systems requires operating reserves to ensure the reliability and security in the operation. The intermittency and volatility in wind power sets a challenge for day-ahead dispatching in order to schedule generation resources. Therefore, the quantification of operating reserves is addressed in this paper using extreme values through Monte-Carlo simulations. The uncertainty in wind power forecasting is captured by a generalized extreme value distribution to generate scenarios. The day-ahead dispatching model is formulated as a mixed-integer linear quadratic problem including ramping constraints. This approach is tested in the IEEE-118 bus test system including integration of wind power in the system. The results represent the range of values for operating reserves in day-ahead dispatching.


2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 6098-6108 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Bao ◽  
Jian Xu ◽  
Siyang Liao ◽  
Yuanzhang Sun ◽  
Xiong Li ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 361-363 ◽  
pp. 318-322
Author(s):  
Gui Zhong Wu ◽  
Yuan Biao Zhang ◽  
Cheng Su ◽  
Yu Jie Liu

In the paper, the wind power prediction is devided into medium-term forecasts and short-term forecasts. For medium-term forecasts, we use the weighted moving average method and BP neural network forecasting model, while for short-term forecasts, the ARMA model and combination forecasting model based on the maximum entropy principle are used. The application example shows that the weighted moving average method is easy and can precisely obtain the fluctuation trend of the wind power, while the accuracy rate of the BP neural network forecasting model is 91.23%, which is better than the former. The predictive results of the ARMA model are similar with actual trends and its accuracy rate is 88.98%. The combination model integrates the advantages of the BP neural network and ARMA model, and its accuracy rate is up to 92.58%.


2014 ◽  
Vol 953-954 ◽  
pp. 537-542
Author(s):  
Hai Feng Zhang ◽  
Zhao Jun Zhang ◽  
Jun Zhou ◽  
Yuan Chao Yang

In view of the uncertainty and intermittency of wind power, this paper presents a bi-objective short-term operation model to manage wind-thermal power systems. This model takes into account both the offer cost and emission. Wind power is regarded as a random variable and is assumed to follow the beta distribution. The bi-objective particle swarm optimization (BOPSO) approach is applied to solve the bi-objective model and Pareto front is obtained. The model and the solution method are tested on a generic system. The validity of the model and the method has been approved.


Energy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 193 ◽  
pp. 116826 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenjia Lin ◽  
Haoyong Chen ◽  
Qiuwei Wu ◽  
Weiwei Li ◽  
Mengshi Li ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 1198-1211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting Cui ◽  
Yangwu Shen ◽  
Bin Zhang ◽  
Jian Xu ◽  
Shangfeng Xiong ◽  
...  

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