scholarly journals Global Mean Sea Level: Indicator of Climate Change?

Science ◽  
1983 ◽  
Vol 219 (4587) ◽  
pp. 997-997 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. HANSEN ◽  
V. GORNITZ ◽  
S. LEBEDEFF ◽  
E. MOORE
Science ◽  
1983 ◽  
Vol 219 (4587) ◽  
pp. 997-998 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. ETKINS ◽  
E. EPSTEIN

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacqueline Austermann ◽  
Mark Hoggard ◽  
Konstantin Latychev ◽  
Fred Richards ◽  
Jerry Mitrovica

It is generally agreed that the Last Interglacial (LIG; ~130-115ka) was a time when global average temperatures and global mean sea level were higher than they are today. However, the exact timing, magnitude, and spatial pattern of ice melt is much debated. One difficulty in extracting past global mean sea level from local observations is that their elevations need to be corrected for glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA), which requires knowledge of Earth’s internal viscoelastic structure. While this structure is generally assumed to be radially symmetric, evidence from seismology, geodynamics, and mineral physics indicates that large lateral variations in viscosity exist within the mantle. In this study, we construct a new model of Earth’s internal structure by converting shear wave speed into viscosity using parameterisations from mineral physics experiments and geodynamical constraints on Earth’s thermal structure. We use this 3D Earth structure, which includes both variations in lithospheric thickness and lateral variations in viscosity, to calculate the first 3D GIA prediction for LIG sea level. We find that the difference between predictions with and without lateral Earth structure can be meters to 10s of meters in the near field of former ice sheets, and up to a few meters in their far field. We demonstrate how forebulge dynamics and continental levering are affected by laterally varying Earth structure, with a particular focus on those sites with prominent LIG sea level records. Results from three 3D GIA calculations show that accounting for lateral structure acts to increase local sea level by up to ~1.5m at the Seychelles and minimally decrease it in Western Australia. We acknowledge that this result is only based on a few simulations, but if robust, this shift brings estimates of global mean sea level from these two sites into closer agreement with each other. We further demonstrate that simulations with a suitable radial viscosity profile can be used to locally approximate the 3D GIA result, but that these radial profiles cannot be found by simply averaging viscosity below the sea level indicator site.


Science ◽  
1982 ◽  
Vol 215 (4530) ◽  
pp. 287-289 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. ETKINS ◽  
E. S. EPSTEIN

2018 ◽  
Vol 115 (9) ◽  
pp. 2022-2025 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. S. Nerem ◽  
B. D. Beckley ◽  
J. T. Fasullo ◽  
B. D. Hamlington ◽  
D. Masters ◽  
...  

Using a 25-y time series of precision satellite altimeter data from TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2, and Jason-3, we estimate the climate-change–driven acceleration of global mean sea level over the last 25 y to be 0.084 ± 0.025 mm/y2. Coupled with the average climate-change–driven rate of sea level rise over these same 25 y of 2.9 mm/y, simple extrapolation of the quadratic implies global mean sea level could rise 65 ± 12 cm by 2100 compared with 2005, roughly in agreement with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report (AR5) model projections.


2012 ◽  
Vol 39 (18) ◽  
Author(s):  
Don P. Chambers ◽  
Mark A. Merrifield ◽  
R. Steven Nerem

Author(s):  
R. Steven Nerem ◽  
Michaël Ablain ◽  
Anny Cazenave ◽  
John Church ◽  
Eric Leuliette

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document