The acute impact of baseline renal function and contrast medium volume/estimated glomerular filtration rate ratio on reduced renal function following endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair

Objective The aim of this study was to determine the acute impact of baseline serum creatinine, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and contrast medium volume (CMV) on the incidence of reduced renal function (RRF) after endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR). We aimed to determine if the CMV/eGFR ratio was a predictor of RRF. Methods This study is a retrospective review of EVAR patients in the Society for Vascular Surgery/Vascular Quality Initiative (SVS/VQI) from January 2015 to August 2020. Reduced renal function was defined as > 0.3 mg/dl (26.5 μmol/L), 50% increase from baseline, and temporary or permanent dialysis. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were conducted for serum creatinine, eGFR, contrast volume, fluid volume, and CMV/eGFR ratio. Two data sets (training and test) were developed followed by multivariate analyses. Results SVS/VQI data for EVAR contained 38,701 records, of which 30,539 were divided into training ( n = 18,283; 60%) and test ( n = 12,256; 40%) data sets. RRF rate for the training set was 3.6% ( n = 667) and 3.4% ( n = 420) for the test data. RRF patients included more females (29.4 vs 19.0%, p < 0.001), were older in age (75.6 + 8.4 vs 73.3 + 8.7 years), had more congestive heart failure (22.3 vs 12.2%, p < 0.001), and more COPD (42.0 vs 34.2%, p < 0.001). An ROC analysis revealed that eGRF, creatinine, contrast, intravenous fluid, and contrast medium volume (CMV)/eGFR ratio were all significantly ( p < 0.05) correlated with RRF. The eGFR and CMV/eGFR ratio had the largest area under the curve, (0.26) and (0.65), respectively, while fluid had the lowest (0.54). Negative predictive values were 93.7 (CMV/eGFR), 93.9 (creatinine), 94.2 (eGFR), 92.8 (contrast), and 92.6 (intravenous fluid). Multivariate analysis of the training data set resulted in the CMV/eGFR ratio as an independent predictor of RRF (odds ratio, OR: 1.9 with 95% CI: 1.6, 2.2, p < 0.015). For the test data, the CMV/eGFR ratio was an independent predictor of RRF (OR: 1.8, CI: 1.4 to 2.2, p < 0.001) as well as several other variables. Conclusion RRF after EVAR is a dreaded and potentially devastating complication. Baseline serum creatinine, eGFR, contrast medium volume, and the ratio (CMV/eGFR) were all significantly associated with RRF. The optimal cut-off value for the CMV/eGFR ratio, ≤ 2, provides an easy-to-use equation to provide a suggested contrast target based on initial renal function with caution applied for high-risk patients.