Sensitivity of boundary crossing probabilities of the Brownian motion

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 75-83
Author(s):  
Sercan Gür ◽  
Klaus Pötzelberger

Abstract The paper analyzes the sensitivity of boundary crossing probabilities of the Brownian motion to perturbations of the boundary. The first- and second-order sensitivities, i.e. the directional derivatives of the probability, are derived. Except in cases where boundary crossing probabilities for the Brownian bridge are given in closed form, the sensitivities have to be computed numerically. We propose an efficient Monte Carlo procedure.

1999 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 1019-1030 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex Novikov ◽  
Volf Frishling ◽  
Nino Kordzakhia

Using the Girsanov transformation we derive estimates for the accuracy of piecewise approximations for one-sided and two-sided boundary crossing probabilities. We demonstrate that piecewise linear approximations can be calculated using repeated numerical integration. As an illustrative example we consider the case of one-sided and two-sided square-root boundaries for which we also present analytical representations in a form of infinite power series.


Optimization ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 64 (2) ◽  
pp. 389-407 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Minchenko ◽  
A. Tarakanov

2013 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-136
Author(s):  
LiWei ZHANG ◽  
XianTao XIAO ◽  
Ning ZHANG

2010 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 1058-1071 ◽  
Author(s):  
James C. Fu ◽  
Tung-Lung Wu

We propose a new method to obtain the boundary crossing probabilities or the first passage time distribution for linear and nonlinear boundaries for Brownian motion. The method also covers certain classes of stochastic processes associated with Brownian motion. The basic idea of the method is based on being able to construct a finite Markov chain, and the boundary crossing probability of Brownian motion is cast as the limiting probability of the finite Markov chain entering a set of absorbing states induced by the boundaries. Error bounds are obtained. Numerical results for various types of boundary studied in the literature are provided in order to illustrate our method.


1997 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liqun Wang ◽  
Klaus Pötzelberger

An explicit formula for the probability that a Brownian motion crosses a piecewise linear boundary in a finite time interval is derived. This formula is used to obtain approximations to the crossing probabilities for general boundaries which are the uniform limits of piecewise linear functions. The rules for assessing the accuracies of the approximations are given. The calculations of the crossing probabilities are easily carried out through Monte Carlo methods. Some numerical examples are provided.


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