The Turn-of-The-Quarter Effect in Momentum and Reversal in U.S. Stocks: Price Pressure as the Result of Tax-Loss Sales and Window Dressing

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
David P. Brown
2003 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-98 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ranjan D'Mello ◽  
Stephen P Ferris ◽  
Chuan Yang Hwang

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (1_suppl) ◽  
pp. S35-S58 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harshita ◽  
Shveta Singh ◽  
Surendra S. Yadav

Covering 20 years (1995–2015), the article ascertains the presence of the month-of-the-year effect in the Indian stock market, for the raw returns series as well as after adjusting for non-linearities of the market. Whether the effect is the same for portfolios of different sizes and values is also ascertained. The threshold generalised autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (TGARCH) model is employed to address non-linearity. The results suggest the presence of higher returns in November/December at the index level. Further, only firms with a size smaller than the average exhibit seasonality in the form of the April/May and November/December effect. The value-sorted portfolios exhibit weaker evidence of the December effect. Tax-loss selling, window dressing and behavioural aspects seem to provide the explanation. JEL Classification: C58, G14


2010 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Seung-Chan Park ◽  
Sviatoslav A. Moskalev

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: justify; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">The predictive power of past returns for January reversal is compared with that of the nearness of current prices to the 52-week high.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>When compared jointly, past returns lose their forecasting power for January returns and the nearness of current prices to the 52-week high assumes the dominant role in explaining the January reversal.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>This suggests that tax-loss selling is not the primary factor explaining the January effect.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>A behavioral explanation consistent with the window-dressing argument is proposed in that the 52-week high acts as an &ldquo;anchor,&rdquo; a highly visible reference price to fund holders, increasing fund managers&rsquo; incentives to window-dress by temporarily adding (removing) stocks that are perceived by fund holders as good (bad) investments, based on the nearness of these stocks&rsquo; current prices to the 52-week high.</span></span></p>


2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shanshan Yang ◽  
Sherrill Shaffer
Keyword(s):  

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