Modern Prospect Theory: The Missing Link Between Modern Portfolio Theory and Prospect Theory

Author(s):  
Arun Muralidhar

Main objective of this study is to develop hybrid optimization method for reducing investment portfolio risk. The methods selected in this study are the combination of Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and genetic algorithm optimization approach. Three stocks from Malaysian Stock Exchange are selected in developing the investment portfolio namely Malayan Banking Berhad, Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad and Top Glove Corporation Berhad. Result indicates the modern portfolio theory can give optimal portfolio weightage with maximum return for tolerate level of investment risk. In addition, genetic algorithm enhanced the optimal searching method to find global minimum of investment risk. Result shows the minimum portfolio risk in objective function is 2.122118 with implementation genetic algorithm optimization. The optimal combination of portfolio investment is 32.24 % in asset A (Malayan Banking Berhad), 52.37 % in asset B (Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad), and 15.30 % in asset C (Top Gove Corporation Berhad). The important of this study is it will assist investor in making better decision to optimize their return for given level of investment risk. Furthermore, this hybrid method provides a better accuracy of prediction for return of investment and portfolio risk.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document