Large Duration Asymptotics in Multivariate Survival Models with Unobserved Heterogeneity

Author(s):  
Yang Lu
2021 ◽  
pp. 183-196
Author(s):  
Göran Broström

2021 ◽  
pp. 096228022110111
Author(s):  
Katy C Molina ◽  
Vinicius F Calsavara ◽  
Vera D Tomazella ◽  
Eder A Milani

Survival models with a frailty term are presented as an extension of Cox’s proportional hazard model, in which a random effect is introduced in the hazard function in a multiplicative form with the aim of modeling the unobserved heterogeneity in the population. Candidates for the frailty distribution are assumed to be continuous and non-negative. However, this assumption may not be true in some situations. In this paper, we consider a discretely distributed frailty model that allows units with zero frailty, that is, it can be interpreted as having long-term survivors. We propose a new discrete frailty-induced survival model with a zero-modified power series family, which can be zero-inflated or zero-deflated depending on the parameter value. Parameter estimation was obtained using the maximum likelihood method, and the performance of the proposed models was performed by Monte Carlo simulation studies. Finally, the applicability of the proposed models was illustrated with a real melanoma cancer data set.


Author(s):  
Sumana Das ◽  
Sujit Kumar Majumdar

Reliability of repairable rolls used in Rolling Mills was modeled taking to survival modeling route to address the presence of recurrent failure events, censoring event and terminal event processes observed longitudinally in rolls. All the event processes were influenced by measured and unmeasured covariates. Prior to fitting appropriate model, Archimedean Gumbel and Clayton Copula analyses confirmed that the measured covariates had no significant dependence structure. Since the censoring events were “informative terminations”, joint shared frailty multivariate survival models involving Log-Normal, Gamma and Log Gamma frailty distributions were fitted to recurrent and terminal events data where, the ‘frailty' parameter represented the effect of unmeasured covariates related to condition of rolling operation. Gaussian quadrature method helped in estimating the model parameters. Statistical significance of the frailty parameter and its variance in all the models confirmed existence of heterogeneity across the recurrent failure events within and between rolls on account of unmeasured covariates. The statistically significant positive association between hazard functions of both the recurrent failure events and the terminal events justified joint modeling approach to the recurrent events and the terminal events processes observed in rolls. The joint lognormal shared frailty multivariate survival models were considered appropriate for analyzing the reliability of rolls.


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