scholarly journals On Retrospecting Human Dynamics with Attention

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minjing Dong ◽  
Chang Xu
Keyword(s):  
Human Motion ◽  
Motion Prediction ◽  
Sufficient Information ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Human Dynamics ◽  
Time Horizons ◽  
Term Prediction ◽  
Error Accumulation ◽  
Short Term Prediction

Deep recurrent neural networks have achieved impressive success in forecasting human motion with a sequence to sequence architecture. However, forecasting in longer time horizons often leads to implausible human poses or converges to mean poses, because of error accumulation and difficulties in keeping track of longerterm information. To address these challenges, we propose to retrospect human dynamics with attention. A retrospection module is designed upon RNN to regularly retrospect past frames and correct mistakes in time. This significantly improves the memory of RNN and provides sufficient information for the decoder networks to generate longer term prediction. Moreover, we present a spatial attention module to explore and exploit cooperation among joints in performing a particular motion. Residual connections are also included to guarantee the performance of short term prediction. We evaluate the proposed algorithm on the largest and most challenging Human 3.6M dataset in the field. Experimental results demonstrate the necessity of investigating motion prediction in a self audit manner and the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm in both short term and long term predictions.

scholarly journals Novel robust time series analysis for long-term and short-term prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroshi Okamura ◽  
Yutaka Osada ◽  
Shota Nishijima ◽  
Shinto Eguchi
Keyword(s):  
Robust Regression ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
New Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Least Absolute Deviations ◽  
Term Prediction ◽  
Regression Approach ◽  
Short Term Prediction ◽  
Long Term Prediction

AbstractNonlinear phenomena are universal in ecology. However, their inference and prediction are generally difficult because of autocorrelation and outliers. A traditional least squares method for parameter estimation is capable of improving short-term prediction by estimating autocorrelation, whereas it has weakness to outliers and consequently worse long-term prediction. In contrast, a traditional robust regression approach, such as the least absolute deviations method, alleviates the influence of outliers and has potentially better long-term prediction, whereas it makes accurately estimating autocorrelation difficult and possibly leads to worse short-term prediction. We propose a new robust regression approach that estimates autocorrelation accurately and reduces the influence of outliers. We then compare the new method with the conventional least squares and least absolute deviations methods by using simulated data and real ecological data. Simulations and analysis of real data demonstrate that the new method generally has better long-term and short-term prediction ability for nonlinear estimation problems using spawner–recruitment data. The new method provides nearly unbiased autocorrelation even for highly contaminated simulated data with extreme outliers, whereas other methods fail to estimate autocorrelation accurately.

scholarly journals Novel Robust Time Series Analysis for Long-term and Short-term Prediction

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroshi Okamura ◽  
Yutaka Osada ◽  
Shota Nishijima ◽  
Shinto Eguchi
Keyword(s):  
Robust Regression ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
New Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Least Absolute Deviations ◽  
Term Prediction ◽  
Regression Approach ◽  
Short Term Prediction ◽  
Long Term Prediction

Abstract Nonlinear phenomena are universal in ecology. However, their inference and prediction are generally difficult because of autocorrelation and outliers. A traditional least squares method for parameter estimation is capable of improving short-term prediction by estimating autocorrelation, whereas it has weakness to outliers and consequently worse long-term prediction. In contrast, a traditional robust regression approach, such as the least absolute deviations method, alleviates the influence of outliers and has potentially better long-term prediction, whereas it makes accurately estimating autocorrelation difficult and possibly leads to worse short-term prediction. We propose a new robust regression approach that estimates autocorrelation accurately and reduces the influence of outliers. We then compare the new method with traditional least squares and least absolute deviations methods using simulated data and real ecological data. Simulations and analysis of real data demonstrate that the new method generally has better long-term and short-term prediction ability for nonlinear estimation problems using spawner--recruitment data. The new method provides nearly unbiased autocorrelation even for highly contaminated simulated data with extreme outliers, whereas the other methods fail to estimate autocorrelation accurately.

scholarly journals Long-Term Human Motion Prediction by Modeling Motion Context and Enhancing Motion Dynamics

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongyi Tang ◽  
Lin Ma ◽  
Wei Liu ◽  
Wei-Shi Zheng
Keyword(s):  
Human Motion ◽  
Gram Matrix ◽  
Motion Prediction ◽  
Context Modeling ◽  
Human Motion Prediction ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Matrix Loss ◽  
Short Term Prediction ◽  
Hidden States

Human motion prediction aims at generating future frames of human motion based on an observed sequence of skeletons. Recent methods employ the latest hidden states of a recurrent neural network (RNN) to encode the historical skeletons, which can only address short-term prediction. In this work, we propose a motion context modeling by summarizing the historical human motion with respect to the current prediction. A modified highway unit (MHU) is proposed for efficiently eliminating motionless joints and estimating next pose given the motion context. Furthermore, we enhance the motion dynamic by minimizing the gram matrix loss for long-term motion prediction. Experimental results show that the proposed model can promisingly forecast the human future movements, which yields superior performances over related state-of-the-art approaches. Moreover, specifying the motion context with the activity labels enables our model to perform human motion transfer.

Development of a Technique for Short-Term Prediction of Hydrometeors Using Advection and Physical Forcing.

1983 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gregory S. Forbes ◽  
John J. Cahir ◽  
Paul B. Dorian ◽  
Walter D. Lottes ◽  
Kathy Chapman
Keyword(s):  
Short Term ◽  
Physical Forcing ◽  
Term Prediction ◽  
Short Term Prediction
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