scholarly journals Price and Volatility Spillover between Korea Stock Market and Chinese Stock Market: Sub-prime Crisis

2010 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 29-51
Author(s):  
박종해 ◽  
변영태 ◽  
Tae-Hyuk Kim ◽  
정대성
2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-133
Author(s):  
Hongjun Zeng

This article examines the linkage and volatility spillover among Chinese Stock Market Monthly Return and Investor Sentiment, investigating the effect dynamic links of various investor sentiment indicators and Chinese stock market return volatility. Employing the DCC and BEKK GARCH, we find investor sentiment is to some extent linked to the yield fluctuations of the Chinese stock market, but the volatility spillover is relatively weak. In the test period (2005-2020), we observe that several indicators do not explain their linkage effects with CSI 300 index of return fluctuations and volatility spillovers well, with no indicators can reflect both of these effects. Most indicators are linkage with the CSI 300 index, especially consumer confidence index (CCI), new investor account openings last month (NIA) and the volume of transactions last month (TURN) have significant linkage effects with the CSI 300 index. We also find that only the CCI index has a one-way volatility spillover on the CSI 300 index, and the CSI 300 index has no volatility spillover on any indicator.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 262-286 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mouna Abdelhedi ◽  
Mouna Boujelbène-Abbes

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate the volatility spillover between the Chinese stock market, investor’s sentiment and oil market, specifically during the 2014‒2016 turmoil period. Design/methodology/approach This study used the daily and monthly China market price index, oil-price index and composite index of Chinese investor’s sentiment. The authors first use the DCC GARCH model in order to study the correlation between variables. Second, the authors use a continuous wavelet decomposition technique so as to capture both time- and frequency-varying features of co-movement variables. Finally, the authors examine the spillover effects by estimating the BEKK GARCH model. Findings The wavelet coherency results indicate a substantial co-movement between oil and Chinese stock markets in the periods of high volatility. BEKK GARCH model outcomes confirm this relation and report the noteworthy bidirectional transmission of volatility between oil market shocks and the Chinese investor’s sentiment, chiefly in the crisis period. These results support the behavioral theory of contagion and highlight that the Chinese investor’s sentiment is a channel through which shocks are transmitted between the oil and Chinese equity markets. Thus, these results are important for Chinese authorities that should monitor the investor’s sentiment to better control the interaction between financial and real markets. Originality/value This study makes three major contributions to the existing literature. First, it pays attention to the recent 2015 Chinese stock market bumble. Second, it has gone some way toward enhancing our understanding of the volatility spillover between the investor’s sentiment, investor’s sentiment variation, oil prices and stock market returns (variables of interest) during oil and stock market crises. Third, it uses the continuous wavelet decomposition technique since it reveals the linkage between variables of interest at different time horizons.


2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (8) ◽  
pp. 1416-1447 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xie He ◽  
Tetsuya Takiguchi ◽  
Tadahiro Nakajima ◽  
Shigeyuki Hamori

This study investigates the time–frequency dynamics of return and volatility spillovers between the stock market and three commodity markets: natural gas, crude oil, and gold via a comparative analysis between the United States and China is conducted with the help of new empirical methods. Our findings are as follows. First, in terms of time, return spillovers between crude oil and the stock market are strongest in two of the three commodity markets. Crude oil emits a net negative return spillover to the US stock market, and a net positive return spillover to the Chinese stock market. By contrast, the strongest volatility spillover effect is transmitted to the stock markets of both countries through gold. However, gold has a net positive volatility spillover effect on the US stock market and a net negative effect on the Chinese stock market. In the frequency domain, most of the return spillover is produced in the short term, and most of the volatility spillover occurs in the long term. In addition, the moving-window method reveals the dynamic nature of the spillover effect. Some extreme events can have a dramatic effect on the spillover index. Conversely, the spillover effect differs significantly between the two countries and is characterized by time variation and frequency dependence.


2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 90-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Berna Kirkulak Uludag ◽  
Muzammil Khurshid

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine volatility spillover from the Chinese stock market to E7 and G7 stock markets. Using the estimated results, the authors also analyze the optimal weights and optimal hedge ratios for the portfolios including stocks from E7 and G7 countries.Design/methodology/approachThe authors employed generalized vector autoregressive-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity approach, developed by Ling and McAleer (2003), in order to analyze daily data on the national stock indices. Considering the late establishment of some E7 stock markets, the sampling covers the period from 1995 through 2015.FindingsThe findings indicate significant volatility spillover from the Chinese stock market to E7 and G7 stock markets. In particular, the Chinese stocks highly co-move with the stocks of countries within a same geographical region. While the highest volatility spillover occurs between China and India among E7 countries, the highest volatility spillover occurs between China and Japan among G7 countries. Furthermore, the examination of optimal weights and hedge ratios suggest that investors should hold more stocks from G7 countries than E7 countries for their portfolios.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study which investigates the volatility spillover in the stock markets of G7 and E7 countries. Moreover, the current study contributes particularly to the existing limited literature on the Chinese stock market. Since the Chinese stock market is not fully integrated to other markets and it is subject to intense government interventions, there is a widely accepted belief that the contagion effects from the Chinese stock market to other stock markets are not influential. This view discourages and limits the prospect studies. However, the findings of this paper refute this view and indicate significant interaction among the Chinese stock market and E7 and G7 stock markets.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 148 ◽  
Author(s):  
Imran Yousaf ◽  
Shoaib Ali ◽  
Wing-Keung Wong

This study uses the BEKK-GARCH model to examine the return-and-volatility spillover between the world-leading markets (USA and China) and four emerging Latin American stock markets over the global financial crisis of 2008 and the crash of the Chinese stock market of 2015. Regarding return spillover, our findings reveal a unidirectional return transmission from Mexico to the US stock market during the global financial crisis. During the crash of the Chinese stock market, the return spillover is found to be unidirectional from the US to the Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Peru stock markets. Moreover, the results indicate a unidirectional return transmission from China to the Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Peru stock markets during the global financial crisis and the crash of the Chinese stock market. Regarding volatility spillover, the results show the bidirectional volatility transmission between the US and the stock markets of Chile and Mexico during the global financial crisis. During the Chinese crash, the bidirectional volatility transmission is observed between the US and Mexican stock markets. Furthermore, the volatility spillover is unidirectional from China to the Brazil stock market during the global financial crisis. During the Chinese crash, the volatility spillover is bidirectional between the China and Brazil stock markets. Lastly, a portfolio analysis application has been conducted.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-133
Author(s):  
Hongjun Zeng

This article examines the linkage and volatility spillover among Chinese Stock Market Monthly Return and Investor Sentiment, investigating the effect dynamic links of various investor sentiment indicators and Chinese stock market return volatility. Employing the DCC and BEKK GARCH, we find investor sentiment is to some extent linked to the yield fluctuations of the Chinese stock market, but the volatility spillover is relatively weak. In the test period (2005-2020), we observe that several indicators do not explain their linkage effects with CSI 300 index of return fluctuations and volatility spillovers well, with no indicators can reflect both of these effects. Most indicators are linkage with the CSI 300 index, especially consumer confidence index (CCI), new investor account openings last month (NIA) and the volume of transactions last month (TURN) have significant linkage effects with the CSI 300 index. We also find that only the CCI index has a one-way volatility spillover on the CSI 300 index, and the CSI 300 index has no volatility spillover on any indicator.


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