Conclusion

The conclusion traces the expansion of the child safety regime in the George W. Bush and Barack Obama years, looking specifically at the global reach of this regime through the 2003 PROTECT Act, the 2006 Adam Walsh Act, and the International Megan’s Law implemented in 2016. It reveals the continuities between the country’s major political parties on matters of child safety and criminal justice while also analyzing various forms of resistance against the child safety regime and mass incarceration—namely the “free range” movement, the Right on Crime initiative, and the popular cultural push to “humanize” those deemed sex offenders. In closing, the conclusion charts a path for dismantling the child safety regime and the carceral state.

The Adam Walsh Act

This study was designed to compare the Adam Walsh Act (AWA) classification tiers with actuarial risk assessment instruments and existing state classification schemes in their respective abilities to identify sex offenders at high risk to re-offend. Data from 1,789 adult sex offenders released from prison in four states were collected (Minnesota, New Jersey, Florida, and South Carolina). On average, the sexual recidivism rate was approximately 5% at 5 years and 10% at 10 years. AWA Tier 2 offenders had higher Static-99R scores and higher recidivism rates than Tier 3 offenders, and in Florida, these inverse correlations were statistically significant. Actuarial measures and existing state tier systems, in contrast, did a better job of identifying high-risk offenders and recidivists. As well, we examined the distribution of risk assessment scores within and across tier categories, finding that a majority of sex offenders fall into AWA Tier 3, but more than half score low or moderately low on the Static-99R. The results indicate that the AWA sex offender classification scheme is a poor indicator of relative risk and is likely to result in a system that is less effective in protecting the public than those currently implemented in the states studied.