Participants’ treatment of allowance price uncertainty: how are risk-aversion and real option values related to each other?

Author(s):  
Frank Gagelmann
2009 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 709-717 ◽  
Author(s):  
Afshin Dehkharghani AKBARI ◽  
Morteza OSANLOO ◽  
Mohsen Akbarpour SHIRAZI

2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 493-522 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aude Pommeret ◽  
Katheline Schubert

New technology has been credited with solving environmental problems by mitigating the effects of pollutants. We construct a general equilibrium model in which abatement technology is a real option and pollution's (negative) amenity value alters both risk aversion and the intertemporal elasticity of substitution. We derive the tax scheme such that in a decentralized economy agents adopt the abatement technology at the time that is socially optimal. We show that the higher the greenness of preferences, the earlier the adoption and the higher the optimal tax rate. We also obtain that adoption is fostered by uncertainty if the effective intertemporal elasticity of substitution is large enough, but is not affected by uncertainty if this elasticity is low. Moreover, the optimal tax rate, which only exists if the effective intertemporal elasticity of substitution is high, is an increasing function of uncertainty.


Author(s):  
Rainer Niemann ◽  
Caren Sureth

SummaryThis article investigates the derivation of post-tax investment rules and neutral tax systems under risk neutrality and risk aversion for irreversible investment projects. Integrating taxes into real option theory, it can be shown that the possible approaches dynamic programming and contingent claims analysis yield identical investment rules under risk neutrality. Under risk aversion, contingent claims analysis requires a sophisticated capital market model which is still missing. In contrast, dynamic programming as an individual approach permits explicit investment rules at least in the pre-tax case. After taxes, both approaches fail to reach general solutions. Nevertheless, we succeed in proving neutral tax systems for the first time under risk aversion in the real option context using dynamic programming.


2012 ◽  
Vol 44 (16) ◽  
pp. 2081-2090
Author(s):  
Hyun Seok Kim ◽  
B. Wade Brorsen
Keyword(s):  

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 427-439
Author(s):  
Jussi Vimpari

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to analyse the problem that arises when a tenant’s space needs will likely change in the future, but the property owner would prefer to continue renting the initial space to the same tenant. The study builds upon ideas on structuring option values into initial rent and proposes a method for evaluating the value of adaptability for both the tenants and the owners.Design/methodology/approachThe methodology is based on real option pricing, and it includes key variables of building adaptability, lease agreement terms and property market information. The methodology explains the importance of understanding the concept of volatility related to space needs and how it affects the tenant’s decision to either remain or vacate the rented premises. Real option pricing theory highlights the problem of using linearly growing expectations for physical assets and the obvious problems that arise with that assumption.FindingsThis paper suggests that the principles of option pricing could be used in valuing building adaptability to find the optimal initial rent from both the owner’s and the tenant’s perspective. It is pointed that the volatility of the tenant’s future space requirements should drive the effective rent paid by the tenant. The paper argues as to why the owner is better off if the tenant can downscale (with building adaptability) their current space rather than vacate the whole space. Additionally, this paper presents the reasons for why the tenant should pay more for a space that has such a downscaling option. Eventually, both the owner and the tenant are better off because, from the tenant’s perspective, unnecessary relocating costs can be avoided, and from the owner’s perspective, unnecessary re-renting costs can be avoided.Practical implicationsThe paper demonstrates how the downscaling option creates value for both the owner and the tenant. The owner benefits from higher average occupancy rates, and during lease break points, only part of the premises has to be re-rented rather than the entire premises. When these higher occupancy rates are transferred into cash flows with relevant market parameters, it is evident how the rates create extra value for the property owner and for the tenant, subject to lease terms.Originality/valueThe owner benefits from the higher rent, even though there might be more lease break points where parts of the building must be rented out. If these kinds of option values can be communicated transparently, it should be possible for the owner and the tenant to agree on such terms.


Author(s):  
Christian Gollier

This chapter first illustrates the notion of an option value with a simple numerical example, before examining a more sophisticated application with a Poisson two-armed bandit. In the first case, there is an option value to wait. In the second case, there is an option value to experiment. The theory of real option value has the objective to adjust the standard cost-benefit methodology, which is static by nature, in order to integrate these dynamic aspects of the evaluation problem. The computation of option values must be done by backward induction. At each node of the decision tree, the optimal decision is made by taking into account the optimal decisions in the subsequent nodes of that part of the tree.


Author(s):  
Rob W.J. van den Goorbergh ◽  
K.J.M. Huisman ◽  
Peter M. Kort

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document