An Analysis of the Time-Varying Behavior of the Equilibrium Velocity of Money in the Euro Area

Author(s):  
Mariam Camarero ◽  
Juan Sapena ◽  
Cecilio Tamarit
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Hondroyiannis ◽  
Dimitrios Papaoikonomou

We investigate the effect of Eurosystem Asset Purchase Programmes (APP) on the monthly yields of 10-year sovereign bonds for 11 euro area sovereigns during January-December 2020. The analysis is based on time-varying coefficient methods applied to monthly panel data covering the period 2004m09 to 2020m12. During 2020 APP contributed to an average decline in yields estimated in the range of 58-76 bps. In December 2020 the effect per EUR trillion ranged between 34 bps in Germany and 159 bps in Greece. Stronger effects generally display diminishing returns. Our findings suggest that a sharp decline in the size of the APP in the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis could lead to very sharp increases in bond yields, particularly in peripheral countries. The analysis additionally reveals a differential response to global risks between core and peripheral countries, with the former enjoying safe-haven benefits. Markets’ perceptions of risk are found to be significantly affected by credit ratings, which is in line with recent evidence based on constant parameter methods.


2017 ◽  
Vol 25 (9) ◽  
pp. 597-600 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marta Gómez-Puig ◽  
Simón Sosvilla-Rivero
Keyword(s):  

2007 ◽  
Vol 51 (7) ◽  
pp. 1768-1784 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Stéphane Mésonnier ◽  
Jean-Paul Renne

2009 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 532-535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meredith Beechey ◽  
Pär Österholm

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