Estimating Time-Dependent Means in Dynamic Models for Cross-Sections of Time Series

Understanding the causes of inter-satellite biases in climate data records from observations of the Earth is crucial for constructing a consistent time series of the essential climate variables. In this article, we analyse the strong scan- and time-dependent biases observed for the microwave humidity sounders on board the NOAA-16 and NOAA-19 satellites. We find compelling evidence that radio frequency interference (RFI) is the cause of the biases. We also devise a correction scheme for the raw count signals for the instruments to mitigate the effect of RFI. Our results show that the RFI-corrected, recalibrated data exhibit distinctly reduced biases and provide consistent time series.

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The Age-Wealth Profile and the Life-Cycle Hypothesis: A Cohort Analysis with a Time Series of Cross-Sections of Italian Households

SSRN Electronic Journal ◽

10.2139/ssrn.156529 ◽

1999 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Tullio Jappelli

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Life Cycle ◽

Cross Sections ◽

Cohort Analysis ◽

Life Cycle Hypothesis

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An Enquiry Into Linear Conflict Models

10.5771/9783748912088 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Klaus B. Beckmann ◽

Lennart Reimer

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Monte Carlo ◽

Bounded Rationality ◽

Dynamic Models ◽

Conflict Analysis ◽

Monte Carlo Techniques ◽

Linear Dynamic ◽

Rich Variety ◽

Time Series Analyses ◽

Linear Dynamic Models

This monograph generalises, and extends, the classic dynamic models in conflict analysis (Lanchester 1916, Richardson 1919, Boulding 1962). Restrictions on parameters are relaxed to account for alliances and for peacekeeping. Incrementalist as well as stochastic versions of the model are reviewed. These extensions allow for a rich variety of patterns of dynamic conflict. Using Monte Carlo techniques as well as time series analyses based on GDELT data (for the Ethiopian-Eritreian war, 1998–2000), we also assess the empirical usefulness of the model. It turns out that linear dynamic models capture selected phases of the conflict quite well, offering a potential taxonomy for conflict dynamics. We also discuss a method for introducing a modicum of (bounded) rationality into models from this tradition.

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