The Life Cycle Hypothesis and Uncertainty: Analyzing Aging Savings Relationship in Tunisia

This research empirically checks the effect of uncertainty on aging-saving link that is indirectly captured by an auxiliary variable: the unemployment. It looks at the nexus population aging and savings by bringing out the unemployment context importance in determination saving behavior notably in a setting of unavailability of unemployment allowance. To better estimate population aging, it considers the old-age dependency ratio besides the total dependency one, which is the usually indicator used. Applying the Structural VAR model, the variance decomposition technique and the response impulse function, on Tunisia during 1970–2019, it puts on show that elderly do not dissave in a context of enduring unemployment and unavailability of unemployment allowance. Unemployment is an important factor able to shaping the saving behavior and to distort the life cycle hypothesis’s prediction. Consequently, the life cycle hypothesis cannot be validated under uncertainty. Hence, aging does not to alter savings systematically. The nature of aging-saving relationship is upon to social and economic context.

Corporate life cycle and dividend payout: A panel data analysis of companies in an emerging market

Background: The dividend payout policy remains one of the key functional areas of corporate finance because it is through receipt of dividends that shareholders can share in the profits of their investments. Amongst the dividend payout theories that have been developed over the decades, the life-cycle hypothesis has received little attention in research.Aim: The aim of this study was to test the dividend life-cycle hypothesis in the South African contex.Motivation for the study: Justification for this study in the context of South Africa is that there is minimal research in this regard in emerging economies. South Africa presents a good platform for this research because it is amongst the highly regarded emerging markets and this has been confirmed by its representation in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) countries. Hence, results in this regard would shed some light in the form of a relative representation of overall emerging markets trend.Research approach/design and method: A panel data of 119 Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) listed sample companies were used to test the hypothesis during the period 2006–2015. A combination of basic and dynamic panel data estimators was used to analyse the data.Main findings: The study finds that the dividend life-cycle hypothesis is prevalent amongst South African companies. Specifically, it was observed that the considered companies pursuing growth projects paid less dividends. Furthermore, the growth companies have shown to be more aggressive in their pursuit for growth and hence are able to create more value for shareholders than value for companies.Managerial implications: Financial managers will be afforded with enhanced decision alternatives in respect of their fiduciary duties towards the shareholders in respect of maximising value.Conclusion: These results provide a mirror image of those of the developed markets and a good context for future research in the same area in an emerging economy setting.

A Re-examination of the Validity of the Life Cycle Hypothesis (LCH): Evidence from Emerging Europe

The study aims to empirically explore the dependence of savings behavior on demographic changes in the context of the life cycle hypothesis (LCH) in a sample of 18 European transition and post transition countries. The empirical methodology is based on a multifactor modeling approach. The research estimates heterogeneous panel data models by employing three different heterogeneous coefficient estimators: mean group (MG) estimator, common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) estimator, and augmented mean group (AMG) estimator. The findings demonstrate that the LCH is confirmed in the case of European post-transition countries and rejected as inappropriate in European transition countries due to inconsistency of regression coefficients (age dependency, unemployment rate, urbanization, and health expenditure). The models and their findings presented in this study can be used in policymaking to predict dynamic interactions and variations among selected demographic variables in the determination of savings behavior.

Monopolistic Competition, Precautionary Savings, Coordination Failure

By using the concept of precautionary savings instead of the life-cycle hypothesis in a model of monopolistic competition, this paper shows that recessions can occur even when prices are flexible. In this model, when buying goods, consumers face trade-offs not only with purchasing other goods but also with saving. Producers consider this and strategically determine prices and outputs. In this case, if consumers’ precautionary saving motive increases, coordination failure occurs and the aggregate supply decreases. In simple words, this is because the demand curve shrinks to the left instead of down.

LIFE-CYCLE HYPOTHESIS OF HYBRID SUKUK

The development of financial system recently has been contributing to the economic growth of the nation. Its vital role helps many financial institutions to advance their financial services, particularly in investment systems such as Sukuk. As seen in recent years, the involvement of Sukuk in many industries ranging from sovereigns to corporates for both Muslim and non-Muslim world companies. Although its popularity increases, it seems to be widely accepted that the insufficient structures of Sukuk become a big challenge to serve the public needs to be in compliance with Shari’ah principles. In an attempt to fulfil many financial companies in issuing Sukuk and the needs of the Muslim world, this study aims to provide the new structure of Sukuk. The study proposes a design of securitization by combining two contracts of Sukuk into one Sukuk structure. The constructed idea will use a model of life cycle hypothesis to support the Sukuk issuing companies in maintaining their incomes. It also explains the cycle cash flow and asset movement as well as the calculation of Net Present Value (NPV) of the project.

Are different income sources fungible? The effects of agricultural subsidy and disaster relief on household consumption in China

This paper uses panel data from a sample of farm households in the northeastern China to examine the non-fungibility of different income sources. The results show the private transfer income has a high and significant impact on household consumption while agricultural subsidy and disaster relief have insignificant impacts. Empirical findings prove that the Behavioral Life Cycle Hypothesis is more practical than the Life Cycle Hypothesis. Moreover, they provide important macro policy implications as for how to stimulate farm consumption and expand domestic demand and encourage economic growth.