Medium and Long-Term Forecasting Method of China’s Power Load Based on SaDE-SVM Algorithm

Author(s):  
Yuansheng Huang ◽  
Lijun Zhang ◽  
Mengshu Shi ◽  
Shijian Liu ◽  
Siyuan Xu
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 553-558
Author(s):  
Tatsuya Nagao ◽  
Takahiro Hayashi ◽  
Yoshiaki Amano

2012 ◽  
Vol 490-495 ◽  
pp. 1362-1366 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ke Zhao ◽  
Lin Gan ◽  
Zhong Wang ◽  
Yan Xiong

For seasonal and long-term power load forecasting problem, this paper presents an optimal combination forecasting method, which can optimize the combination of multiple predictive models. Optimize the combination of the two model predictions with two models as an example, which are the gray GM(1,1) model and linear regression model, and finally compare the predicted values of combination with the real values. The results show that: the combination forecasting method has a high prediction accuracy, and the error is very small.


2019 ◽  
Vol 75 (2) ◽  
pp. 74-81
Author(s):  
Borys Fedorovich Khrystiuk ◽  
Liudmyla Olexandrivna Gorbachova

The Kyiv city is the capital of Ukraine, as well as its major administrative and industrial center. Kyiv is located in the middle reaches of the Dnipro River which is the largest river in Ukraine. In the past, the Kyiv city suffered from dangerous spring floods. Consequently, long-term forecasting of spring floods on the Dnipro River near Kyiv has an important scientific and practical significance. Existing quantitative methods for such forecasting are of limited forecast lead time and require many input hydrometeorological data. In the paper the information method Weng Wen-Bo applied, which is a qualitative forecasting method. The use such method allows to determine the periods and specific years in which the following extraordinary spring floods on the Dnipro River near Kyiv can occur.


2010 ◽  
Vol 143-144 ◽  
pp. 1164-1169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Li ◽  
Zhen Gang Zhang ◽  
Ning Yan

Generally, the power load forecasting sequence has stochastic growth and nonlinear wave characteristics, grey SVM can effective reflect the growth properties of the sequence and fit the nonlinear relation. The whole forecasting precision of the sequence was optimized, and the transfer matrix for the forecasting sequence was decided, then the accuracy for power load forecasting was greatly improved. Through the demonstration test, the precision is better than single method, the method in this paper have feasibility in practice.


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