Simulation of Complex Systems Using the Observed Data Based on Recurrent Artificial Neural Networks

2019 ◽  
Vol 61 (12) ◽  
pp. 893-907 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. F. Seleznev ◽  
A. S. Gavrilov ◽  
D. N. Mukhin ◽  
E. M. Loskutov ◽  
A. M. Feigin
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabiane Barbosa do Nascimento ◽  
Leonardo Rocha Olivi ◽  
Luís Henrique Lopes Lima ◽  
Leonardo Willer de Oliveira ◽  
Ivo Chaves Silva Junior

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 ◽  
pp. 715-734
Author(s):  
Gianfranco Minati

Complex systems are usually represented by invariant models which at most admit only parametric variations. This approach assumes invariant idealized simplifications to model these systems. This standard approach is considered omitting crucial features of phenomenological interaction mechanisms related to processes of emergence of such systems. The quasiness of the structural dynamics that generate emergence of complex systems is considered as the main feature. Generation achieved through prevalently coherent sequences and combinations of interactions. Quasiness (dynamics of loss and recovery, equivalences, inhomogeneity, multiplicity, non-regularity, and partiality) represents the incompleteness of the interaction mechanisms, incompleteness necessary even if not sufficient for the establishment of processes of emergence. The emergence is extinguished by completeness. Complex systems possess local coherences corresponding to the phenomenological complexity. While quasi-systems are not necessarily complex systems, complex systems are considered quasi-systems, being not always systems, not always the same system, and not only systems. It is addressed the problem of representing the quasiness of coherence (quasicoherence), such as the ability to recover and tolerate temporary levels of incoherence. The main results of the study focus on research approaches to model quasicoherence through the changing of rules in models of emergence. It is presented a version of standard analytical approaches compatible with quasiness of systemic emergence and related mathematical issues. The same approach is considered for networks, artificial neural networks, and it is introduced the concept of quasification for fixed models. Finally, it is considered that suitable representations of structural dynamics and its quasiness are needed to model, simulate, and adopt effective interventions on emergence of complex systems.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vítor Giudice Batista de Araujo Porto ◽  
Leonardo Rocha Olivi

O Preço de Liquidação das Diferenças (PLD) é uma variável utilizada para determinar o valor a ser cobrado pelos volumes de energia que serão liquidados na Câmara de Comercialização de Energia Elétrica (CCEE), e é atualizado semanalmente. Seu cálculo é baseado em modelos estatísticos e matemáticos de otimização, e, portanto, apresenta um comportamento altamente não-linear. Este trabalho propõe, por meio de uma arquitetura recorrente de redes neurais artificiais LSTM e um filtro corretivo, a predição do preço do PLD uma semana à frente, buscando obter as melhores variáveis de entrada, a fim de contornar problemas recorrentes que aparecerem com o uso de redes recursivas em séries temporais. O resultado mostra como a obtenção das variáveis corretas acarretam em uma predição confiável do PLD.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document