Coexistence of equilibria in a New Keynesian model with heterogeneous beliefs

2015 ◽  
Vol 79 ◽  
pp. 83-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Agliari ◽  
Nicolò Pecora ◽  
Alessandro Spelta
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Andrade ◽  
Gaetano Gaballo ◽  
Eric Mengus ◽  
Benoît Mojon

Central banks’ announcements that rates are expected to remain low could signal either a weak macroeconomic outlook, which would slow expenditures, or a more accommodative stance, which may stimulate economic activity. We use the Survey of Professional Forecasters to show that, when the Fed gave guidance between 2011:III and 2012:IV, these two interpretations coexisted despite a consensus on low expected rates. We rationalize these facts in a New-Keynesian model where heterogeneous beliefs introduce a trade-off in forward guidance policy: leveraging on the optimism of those who believe in monetary easing comes at the cost of inducing excess pessimism in non-believers. (JEL D83, E12, E43, E52, E58, E65)


2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 142-176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael U. Krause ◽  
Stéphane Moyen

What are the effects of a higher central bank inflation target on the burden of real public debt? Several recent proposals have suggested that even a moderate increase in the inflation target can have a pronounced effect on real public debt. We consider this question in a New Keynesian model with a maturity structure of public debt and an imperfectly observed inflation target. We find that moderate changes in the inflation target only have significant effects on real public debt if they are essentially permanent. Moreover, the additional benefits of not communicating a change in the inflation target are minor. (JEL E12, E31, E52, H63)


2014 ◽  
Vol 40 ◽  
pp. 338-359 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miguel Casares ◽  
Antonio Moreno ◽  
Jesús Vázquez

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger ◽  
Anderson Grajales Olarte ◽  
Burak Uras

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document