scholarly journals Comparison of magnitude-sensitive sequential sampling models in a simulation-based study

2020 ◽  
Vol 94 ◽  
pp. 102298
Author(s):  
Thomas Bose ◽  
Angelo Pirrone ◽  
Andreagiovanni Reina ◽  
James A.R. Marshall
2014 ◽  
Vol 136 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shengli Xu ◽  
Haitao Liu ◽  
Xiaofang Wang ◽  
Xiaomo Jiang

Surrogate models are widely used in simulation-based engineering design and optimization to save the computing cost. The choice of sampling approach has a great impact on the metamodel accuracy. This article presents a robust error-pursuing sequential sampling approach called cross-validation (CV)-Voronoi for global metamodeling. During the sampling process, CV-Voronoi uses Voronoi diagram to partition the design space into a set of Voronoi cells according to existing points. The error behavior of each cell is estimated by leave-one-out (LOO) cross-validation approach. Large prediction error indicates that the constructed metamodel in this Voronoi cell has not been fitted well and, thus, new points should be sampled in this cell. In order to rapidly improve the metamodel accuracy, the proposed approach samples a Voronoi cell with the largest error value, which is marked as a sensitive region. The sampling approach exploits locally by the identification of sensitive region and explores globally with the shift of sensitive region. Comparative results with several sequential sampling approaches have demonstrated that the proposed approach is simple, robust, and achieves the desired metamodel accuracy with fewer samples, that is needed in simulation-based engineering design problems.


1999 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 713-725 ◽  
Author(s):  
Itiel E. Dror ◽  
Beth Basola ◽  
Jerome R. Busemeyer

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 813-832 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Voss ◽  
Veronika Lerche ◽  
Ulf Mertens ◽  
Jochen Voss

2020 ◽  
Vol 136 ◽  
pp. 107261 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven Miletić ◽  
Russell J. Boag ◽  
Birte U. Forstmann

Author(s):  
Zequn Wang ◽  
Pingfeng Wang

This paper presents a maximum confidence enhancement based sequential sampling approach for simulation-based design under uncertainty. In the proposed approach, the ordinary Kriging method is adopted to construct surrogate models for all constraints and thus Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is able to be used to estimate reliability and its sensitivity with respect to design variables. A cumulative confidence level is defined to quantify the accuracy of reliability estimation using MCS based on the Kriging models. To improve the efficiency of proposed approach, a maximum confidence enhancement based sequential sampling scheme is developed to update the Kriging models based on the maximum improvement of the defined cumulative confidence level, in which a sample that produces the largest improvement of the cumulative confidence level is selected to update the surrogate models. Moreover, a new design sensitivity estimation approach based upon constructed Kriging models is developed to estimate the reliability sensitivity information with respect to design variables without incurring any extra function evaluations. This enables to compute smooth sensitivity values and thus greatly enhances the efficiency and robustness of the design optimization process. Two case studies are used to demonstrate the proposed methodology.


2017 ◽  
Vol 92 ◽  
pp. 101-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam F. Osth ◽  
Simon Dennis ◽  
Andrew Heathcote

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matteo Lisi ◽  
Michael J. Morgan ◽  
Joshua A. Solomon

AbstractPerceptual decisions often require the integration of noisy sensory evidence over time. This process is formalized with sequential sampling models, where evidence is accumulated up to a decision threshold before a choice is made. Although classical accounts grounded in cognitive psychology tend to consider the process of decision formation and the preparation of the motor response as occurring serially, neurophysiological studies have proposed that decision formation and response preparation occur in parallel and are inseparable (Cisek, 2007; Shadlen et al., 2008). To address this serial vs. parallel debate, we developed a behavioural, reverse correlation protocol, in which the stimuli that influence perceptual decisions can be distinguished from the stimuli that influence motor responses. We show that the temporal integration windows supporting these two processes are distinct and largely non-overlapping, suggesting that they proceed in a serial or cascaded fashion.


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