scholarly journals Dynamical generalized Hurst exponent as a tool to monitor unstable periods in financial time series

2012 ◽  
Vol 391 (11) ◽  
pp. 3180-3189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raffaello Morales ◽  
T. Di Matteo ◽  
Ruggero Gramatica ◽  
Tomaso Aste
2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Kumar ◽  
P. Manchanda ◽  
A. H. Siddiqi ◽  
M. Brokate ◽  
A. K. Gupta

e-Finanse ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 49-58 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcin Wątorek ◽  
Bartosz Stawiarski

Abstract We closely examine and compare two promising techniques helpful in estimating the moment an asset bubble bursts. Namely, the Log-Periodic Power Law model and Generalized Hurst Exponent approaches are considered. Sequential LPPL fitting to empirical financial time series exhibiting evident bubble behavior is presented. Estimating the critical crash-time works satisfactorily well also in the case of GHE, when substantial „decorrelation“ prior to the event is visible. An extensive simulation study carried out on empirical data: stock indices and commodities, confirms very good performance of the two approaches.


2001 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 269-272 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hong-wei SANG ◽  
Tian Ma ◽  
Shuo-zhong Wang

2017 ◽  
Vol 28 (02) ◽  
pp. 1750028 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Yujun ◽  
Li Jianping ◽  
Yang Yimei

This paper introduces a multiscale multifractal multiproperty analysis based on Rényi entropy (3MPAR) method to analyze short-range and long-range characteristics of financial time series, and then applies this method to the five time series of five properties in four stock indices. Combining the two analysis techniques of Rényi entropy and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA), the 3MPAR method focuses on the curves of Rényi entropy and generalized Hurst exponent of five properties of four stock time series, which allows us to study more universal and subtle fluctuation characteristics of financial time series. By analyzing the curves of the Rényi entropy and the profiles of the logarithm distribution of MFDFA of five properties of four stock indices, the 3MPAR method shows some fluctuation characteristics of the financial time series and the stock markets. Then, it also shows a richer information of the financial time series by comparing the profile of five properties of four stock indices. In this paper, we not only focus on the multifractality of time series but also the fluctuation characteristics of the financial time series and subtle differences in the time series of different properties. We find that financial time series is far more complex than reported in some research works using one property of time series.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (02) ◽  
pp. 319-325
Author(s):  
Kei Katahira ◽  
Yu Chen

The speculation game is an agent-based toy model to investigate the dynamics of the financial market. Our model has achieved the reproduction of 10 of the well-known stylized facts for financial time series. However, there is also a divergence from the behavior of real market. The market price of the model tends to be anti-persistent to the initial price, resulting in the quite small value of Hurst exponent of price change. To overcome this problem, we extend the speculation game by introducing a perturbative part to the price change with the consideration of other effects besides pure speculative behaviors.


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