On the asymptotic behaviour of branching processes with infinite mean

1977 ◽  
Vol 9 (04) ◽  
pp. 681-723 ◽  
Author(s):  
H.-J. Schuh ◽  
A. D. Barbour

The paper deals with the asymptotic behaviour of infinite mean Galton–Watson processes (denoted by {Zn }). We show that these processes can be classified as regular or irregular. The regular ones are characterized by the property that for any sequence of positive constants {Cn }, for which a.s. exists, The irregular ones, which will be shown by examples to exist, have the property that there exists a sequence of constants {Cn } such that In Part 1 we study the properties of {Zn /Cn } and give some characterizations for both regular and irregular processes. Part 2 starts with an a.s. convergence result for {yn (Zn )}, where {yn } is a suitable chosen sequence of functions related to {Zn }. Using this, we then derive necessary and sufficient conditions for the a.s. convergence of {U(Zn )/Cn }, where U is a slowly varying function. The distribution function of the limit is shown to satisfy a Poincaré functional equation. Finally we show that for every process {Zn } it is possible to construct explicitly functions U, such that U(Zn )/en converges a.s. to a non-degenerate proper random variable. If the process is regular, all these functions U are slowly varying. The distribution of the limit depends on U, and we show that by appropriate choice of U we may get a limit distribution which has a positive and continuous density or is continuous but not absolutely continuous or even has no probability mass on certain intervals. This situation contrasts strongly with the finite mean case.

1977 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 681-723 ◽  
Author(s):  
H.-J. Schuh ◽  
A. D. Barbour

The paper deals with the asymptotic behaviour of infinite mean Galton–Watson processes (denoted by {Zn}). We show that these processes can be classified as regular or irregular. The regular ones are characterized by the property that for any sequence of positive constants {Cn}, for which a.s. exists, The irregular ones, which will be shown by examples to exist, have the property that there exists a sequence of constants {Cn} such that In Part 1 we study the properties of {Zn/Cn} and give some characterizations for both regular and irregular processes. Part 2 starts with an a.s. convergence result for {yn(Zn)}, where {yn} is a suitable chosen sequence of functions related to {Zn}. Using this, we then derive necessary and sufficient conditions for the a.s. convergence of {U(Zn)/Cn}, where U is a slowly varying function. The distribution function of the limit is shown to satisfy a Poincaré functional equation. Finally we show that for every process {Zn} it is possible to construct explicitly functions U, such that U(Zn)/en converges a.s. to a non-degenerate proper random variable. If the process is regular, all these functions U are slowly varying. The distribution of the limit depends on U, and we show that by appropriate choice of U we may get a limit distribution which has a positive and continuous density or is continuous but not absolutely continuous or even has no probability mass on certain intervals. This situation contrasts strongly with the finite mean case.


1980 ◽  
Vol 87 (3) ◽  
pp. 383-392
Author(s):  
Alan MacLean

It has long been known, after Wiener (e.g. see (11), vol. 1, p. 108, (5), (8), §5·6)) that a measure μ whose Fourier transform vanishes at infinity is continuous, and generally, that μ is continuous if and only if is small ‘on the average’. Baker (1) has pursued this theme and obtained concise necessary and sufficient conditions for the continuity of μ, again expressed in terms of the rate of decrease of . On the other hand, for continuous μ, Rudin (9) points out the difficulty in obtaining criteria based solely on the asymptotic behaviour of by which one may determine whether μ has a singular component. The object of this paper is to show further that any such criteria must be complicated indeed. We shall show that the absolutely continuous measures on T = [0, 2π) whose Fourier transforms are the most well-behaved (namely, those of the form (1/2π)f(x)dx, where f has an absolutely convergent Fourier series) are such that one may modify their transforms on ‘large’ subsets of Z so that they become the transforms of singular continuous measures. Moreover, the singular continuous measures in question may be chosen so that their Fourier transforms do not vanish at infinity.


1972 ◽  
Vol 9 (02) ◽  
pp. 457-461 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ahsanullah ◽  
M. Rahman

A necessary and sufficient condition based on order statistics that a positive random variable having an absolutely continuous probability distribution (with respect to Lebesgue measure) will be exponential is given.


2003 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 417-448 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. A. Doney ◽  
P. S. Griffin

We consider the asymptotic behaviour of a random walk when it exits from a symmetric region of the form {(x, n) :|x| ≤ rnb} as r → ∞. In order to be sure that this actually occurs, we treat only the case where the power b lies in the interval [0,½), and we further assume a condition that prevents the probability of exiting at either boundary tending to 0. Under these restrictions we establish necessary and sufficient conditions for the pth moment of the overshoot to be O(rq), and for the overshoot to be tight, as r → ∞.


2002 ◽  
Vol 39 (4) ◽  
pp. 804-815 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. González ◽  
M. Molina ◽  
I. Del Puerto

In this paper, the class of controlled branching processes with random control functions introduced by Yanev (1976) is considered. For this class, necessary and sufficient conditions are established for the process to become extinct with probability 1 and the limit probabilistic behaviour of the population size, suitably normed, is investigated.


2007 ◽  
Vol 57 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Rath ◽  
N. Misra ◽  
L. Padhy

AbstractIn this paper, necessary and sufficient conditions for the oscillation and asymptotic behaviour of solutions of the second order neutral delay differential equation (NDDE) $$\left[ {r(t)(y(t) - p(t)y(t - \tau ))'} \right]^\prime + q(t)G(y(h(t))) = 0$$ are obtained, where q, h ∈ C([0, ∞), ℝ) such that q(t) ≥ 0, r ∈ C (1) ([0, ∞), (0, ∞)), p ∈ C ([0, ∞), ℝ), G ∈ C (ℝ, ℝ) and τ ∈ ℝ+. Since the results of this paper hold when r(t) ≡ 1 and G(u) ≡ u, therefore it extends, generalizes and improves some known results.


2011 ◽  
Vol 43 (3) ◽  
pp. 688-711 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anita Diana Behme

For a given bivariate Lévy process (Ut, Lt)t≥0, distributional properties of the stationary solutions of the stochastic differential equation dVt = Vt-dUt + dLt are analysed. In particular, the expectation and autocorrelation function are obtained in terms of the process (U, L) and in several cases of interest the tail behavior is described. In the case where U has jumps of size −1, necessary and sufficient conditions for the law of the solutions to be (absolutely) continuous are given.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 469-483
Author(s):  
May-Ru Chen

In this paper, we consider a generalized Pólya urn model with multiple drawings and time-dependent reinforcements. Suppose an urn initially contains w white and r red balls. At the nth action, m balls are drawn at random from the urn, say k white and m−k red balls, and then replaced in the urn along with cnk white and cn(m − k) red balls, where {cn} is a given sequence of positive integers. Repeat the above procedure ad infinitum. Let Xn be the proportion of the white balls in the urn after the nth action. We first show that Xn converges almost surely to a random variable X. Next, we give a necessary and sufficient condition for X to have a Bernoulli distribution with parameter w/(w + r). Finally, we prove that X is absolutely continuous if {cn} is bounded.


2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (4) ◽  
pp. 1211-1234 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irene Hueter

AbstractBranching processes in random environments have been widely studied and applied to population growth systems to model the spread of epidemics, infectious diseases, cancerous tumor growth, and social network traffic. However, Ebola virus, tuberculosis infections, and avian flu grow or change at rates that vary with time—at peak rates during pandemic time periods, while at low rates when near extinction. The branching processes in generalized autoregressive conditional environments we propose provide a novel approach to branching processes that allows for such time-varying random environments and instances of peak growth and near extinction-type rates. Offspring distributions we consider to illustrate the model include the generalized Poisson, binomial, and negative binomial integer-valued GARCH models. We establish conditions on the environmental process that guarantee stationarity and ergodicity of the mean offspring number and environmental processes and provide equations from which their variances, autocorrelation, and cross-correlation functions can be deduced. Furthermore, we present results on fundamental questions of importance to these processes—the survival-extinction dichotomy, growth behavior, necessary and sufficient conditions for noncertain extinction, characterization of the phase transition between the subcritical and supercritical regimes, and survival behavior in each phase and at criticality.


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