An evaluation of change-point estimators for a sequence of normal observations with unknown parameters

2017 ◽  
Vol 46 (6) ◽  
pp. 4297-4317
Author(s):  
Jorge Garza-Venegas ◽  
Victor Tercero-Gomez ◽  
Alvaro Cordero Franco ◽  
María Temblador-Pérez ◽  
Mario Beruvides
Author(s):  
MARCUS B. PERRY ◽  
JOSEPH J. PIGNATIELLO

Knowing when a process has changed would simplify the search for and identification of the special cause. In this paper, we compare the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the process change point (that is, when the process changed) to built-in change point estimators from binomial CUSUM and EWMA control charts. We conclude that it is better to use the maximum likelihood change point estimator when a CUSUM or EWMA control chart signals a change in the process fraction nonconforming. The results show that the MLE provides process engineers with an accurate and useful estimate of the last subgroup from the unchanged process.


Stats ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Liu ◽  
Frank Bretz ◽  
Natchalee Srimaneekarn ◽  
Jianan Peng ◽  
Anthony J. Hayter

Classification has applications in a wide range of fields including medicine, engineering, computer science and social sciences among others. In statistical terms, classification is inference about the unknown parameters, i.e., the true classes of future objects. Hence, various standard statistical approaches can be used, such as point estimators, confidence sets and decision theoretic approaches. For example, a classifier that classifies a future object as belonging to only one of several known classes is a point estimator. The purpose of this paper is to propose a confidence-set-based classifier that classifies a future object into a single class only when there is enough evidence to warrant this, and into several classes otherwise. By allowing classification of an object into possibly more than one class, this classifier guarantees a pre-specified proportion of correct classification among all future objects. An example is provided to illustrate the method, and a simulation study is included to highlight the desirable feature of the method.


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