A study of the predictive performance of the moving average trading rule as applied to NYSE, the Athens Stock Exchange and the Vienna Stock Exchange: sensitivity analysis and implications for weak-form market efficiency testing

2009 ◽  
Vol 19 (14) ◽  
pp. 1171-1186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandros E. Milionis† ◽  
Evangelia Papanagiotou
2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Syed Arshad Ali Shah ◽  
Naimat Ullah Khan ◽  
Muhammad Daud Ali

This study examines market efficiency in the light of the simple moving average technical trading rules on daily closing share prices of 100 companies listed on Pakistan Stock Exchange over ten years from 2006 to 2015. The results show strong support for simple moving average rules having both predictability and profitability for PSX. It refers that the returns from these rules are not same as investors earn from a naïve buy and hold strategy. The uses of these simple moving average rules produce abnormal returns to investors and hence nullify the weak form of efficiency on PSX.


2011 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 167-181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panayiotis F. Diamandis ◽  
Anastassios A. Drakos ◽  
Georgios P. Kouretas ◽  
Leonidas P. Zarangas

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-26
Author(s):  
Efstathios Xanthopoulos ◽  
Konstantinos Aravossis ◽  
Spyros Papathanasiou

This paper investigates the profitability of technical trading rules in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE), utilizing the FTSE Large Capitalization index over the seven-year period 2005-2012, which was before and during the Greek crisis. The technical rules that will be explored are the simple moving average, the envelope (parallel bands) and the slope (regression). We compare technical trading strategies in the spirit of Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), employing traditional t-test and Bootstrap methodology under the Random Walk with drift, AR(1) and GARCH(1,1) models. We enrich our analysis via Fourier analysis technique (FFT) and more statistical tests. The results provide strong evidence on the profitability of the examined technical trading rules, even during recession period (2009-2012), and contradict the Efficient Market Hypothesis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 285
Author(s):  
Shafir Zaman

Investors need to have an idea about stock market before making investment whether the stock markets are efficient or not to take investment decision in stock market. For that reason, measurement of market efficiency of stock market bears significance to investors. Bearing it in mind, the study is undertaken to find out the existence of weak form efficiency prevails in largest stock market of Bangladesh. In order to get perfect result Parametric and Non Parametric tests were conducted of DSE & CSE for 2013 to 2017. It was found from all tests that Dhaka and Chittagong Stock exchange are not weak form efficient. Therefore, the result of the study will act as a helping hand to researchers to find out the reason of Bangladesh stock market not being weak form efficient as well as providing measurement to make the stock market weak form efficient.


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