scholarly journals Calculating the optimal hedge ratio: constant, time varying and the Kalman Filter approach

2006 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 293-299 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdulnasser Hatemi-J ◽  
Eduardo Roca
2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (3) ◽  
pp. 137-152
Author(s):  
A. Shanthi ◽  
R. Thamilselvan

The major objective of the study is to examine the performance of optimal hedge ratio and hedging effectiveness in stock futures market in National Stock Exchange, India by estimating the following econometric models like Ordinary Least Square (OLS), Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and time varying Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) model by evaluating in sample observation and out of sample observations for the period spanning from 1st January 2011 till 31st March 2018 by accommodating sixteen stock futures retrieved through www.nseindia.com by considering banking sector of Indian economy. The findings of the study indicate both the in sample and out of sample hedging performances suggest the various strategies obtained through the time varying optimal hedge ratio, which minimizes the conditional variance performs better than the employed alterative models for most of the underlying stock futures contracts in select banking sectors in India. Moreover, the study also envisage about the model selection criteria is most important for appropriate hedge ratio through risk averse investors. Finally, the research work is also in line with the previous attempts Myers (1991), Baillie and Myers (1991) and Park and Switzer (1995a, 1995b) made in the US markets


Author(s):  
Vinayak G. Asutkar ◽  
Balasaheb M. Patre

This chapter deals with identification of time-varying systems using Kalman filter approach. Most physical systems exhibit some degree of time-varying behaviour for many reasons. These systems cannot effectively be modelled using time invariant models. A time-varying autoregressive with exogenous input (TVARX) model is good to model these time-varying systems. The Kalman filter approach is a superior way to estimate the system parameters. This approach can track the time-varying parameters and is suitable for recursive estimation. It works well even when there are abrupt changes in the system parameters. Kalman filter is known to be an optimal estimator even when there is significant noise. In the proposed approach, for the purpose of simulation, we employ first order TVARX model and its parameters are estimated using recursive Kalman filter method. The system parameters are varied in continuous and abruptly changing manner to reveal the physical situation. To show the efficacy of the proposed approach, the time-varying parameters are estimated for different noise conditions. The performance is evaluated by calculating error performance measures. The results are found to be satisfactory with reasonable accuracy for noisy conditions even for fast changing parameters. The numerical examples illustrate efficacy of the proposed Kalman filter based approach for identification of time-varying systems.


2003 ◽  
Vol 43 (8) ◽  
pp. 1033-1042 ◽  
Author(s):  
Massimo Gastaldi ◽  
Annamaria Nardecchia

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