Services Deepening and the Transmission of Monetary Policy

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 1261-1293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessandro Galesi ◽  
Omar Rachedi
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Marginal Costs ◽  
Cost Channel ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Output Matrix ◽  
Inflation Rates ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Transmission Of Monetary Policy

Abstract The structural transformation from manufacturing to services comes with a process of services deepening: the services share of intermediate inputs rises over time. Moreover, inflation reacts less to monetary policy shocks in countries that are more intensive in services intermediates. We rationalize these facts using a two-sector New Keynesian model where trends in sectoral productivities generate endogenous variations in the Input–Output matrix. Services deepening reduces the contemporaneous response of inflation to monetary policy shocks through a marginal cost channel. Since services prices are stickier than manufacturing prices, the rise of services intermediates raises the sluggishness of sectoral marginal costs and inflation rates.

scholarly journals INTEREST RATE EFFECTS OF DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES IN A NEW KEYNESIAN LIFE-CYCLE FRAMEWORK

2014 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 120-164 ◽  
Author(s):  
Engin Kara ◽  
Leopold von Thadden
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Rate Effects ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Short Run

This paper develops a small-scale DSGE model that embeds a demographic structure within a monetary policy framework. We extend the nonmonetary overlapping-generations model of Gertler and present a small synthesis model that combines the setup of Gertler with a New Keynesian structure, implying that the short-run dynamics related to monetary policy can be compared with that of the standard New Keynesian model. In sum, the model offers a New Keynesian platform that can be used to characterize the response of macroeconomic variables to demographic shocks, similarly to the responses to technology or monetary policy shocks. We offer such characterizations for flexible and sticky price equilibria. Empirically, we calibrate the model to demographic developments projected for the euro area. The main finding is that the projected slowdown in population growth and the increase in longevity contribute slowly over time to a decline in the equilibrium interest rate.

INSIDE MONEY IN GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM: DOES IT MATTER FOR MONETARY POLICY?

2011 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 563-590 ◽  
Author(s):  
Livio Stracca
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Active Role ◽  
Significant Loss ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Inside Money ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Money Shocks

This paper analyzes the role and importance of “inside” money, made out of commercial banks' liabilities, for a New Keynesian model of the type commonly used for monetary policy analysis. The active role of inside money stems from its unique role in allowing payment for at least some consumption goods; shocks to the production of inside money may therefore have real effects. A calibrated version of the model is shown to generate small, but nonnegligible effects of inside money shocks on output and inflation. Moreover, the presence of inside money in the model leads to a slight attenuation of the effect of technology and monetary policy shocks. Finally, it is found that it is optimal for monetary policy to react to inside money shocks, but reacting to inflation alone does not result in a significant loss of household welfare.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Surprises, Credit Costs, and Economic Activity

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Gertler ◽  
Peter Karadi
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Var Analysis ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Forward Guidance ◽  
Policy Transmission ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Term Premia ◽  
Transmission Of Monetary Policy

We provide evidence on the transmission of monetary policy shocks in a setting with both economic and financial variables. We first show that shocks identified using high frequency surprises around policy announcements as external instruments produce responses in output and inflation that are typical in monetary VAR analysis. We also find, however, that the resulting “modest” movements in short rates lead to “large” movements in credit costs, which are due mainly to the reaction of both term premia and credit spreads. Finally, we show that forward guidance is important to the overall strength of policy transmission. (JEL E31, E32, E43, E44, E52, G01)

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