A sequential importance sampling filter with a new proposal distribution for state and parameter estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems

Author(s):  
Shuva J Ghosh ◽  
C.S Manohar ◽  
D Roy

The problem of estimating parameters of nonlinear dynamical systems based on incomplete noisy measurements is considered within the framework of Bayesian filtering using Monte Carlo simulations. The measurement noise and unmodelled dynamics are represented through additive and/or multiplicative Gaussian white noise processes. Truncated Ito–Taylor expansions are used to discretize these equations leading to discrete maps containing a set of multiple stochastic integrals. These integrals, in general, constitute a set of non-Gaussian random variables. The system parameters to be determined are declared as additional state variables. The parameter identification problem is solved through a new sequential importance sampling filter. This involves Ito–Taylor expansions of nonlinear terms in the measurement equation and the development of an ideal proposal density function while accounting for the non-Gaussian terms appearing in the governing equations. Numerical illustrations on parameter identification of a few nonlinear oscillators and a geometrically nonlinear Euler–Bernoulli beam reveal a remarkably improved performance of the proposed methods over one of the best known algorithms, i.e. the unscented particle filter.

Author(s):  
Pankaj Kumar ◽  
S. Narayanan

The prediction of the response of nonlinear systems subjected to stochastic parametric, narrowband and wideband or coloured external excitation is of importance in the field of structural and rotor dynamics. The transitional probability density function (pdf) for the random response of nonlinear systems under white or coloured noise excitation (delta-correlated) is governed by both the forward Fokker-Planck (FP) and backward Kolmogorov equations. This paper presents efficient numerical solution of the FP equation for the pdf of response for general nonlinear systems subjected to external white noise and combined sinusoidal and white noise excitation. The effect of intensity of white noise, frequency and amplitude of sinusoidal excitation and level of system nonlinearity on the non-Gaussian nature of response caused by the system nonlinearity are investigated. Stochastic behaviours like stability, jump, bifurcation are examined as the system parameters change. The finite element (FE) scheme is used to solve the FP equation and obtain the statistics of a two degree-of-freedom linear system representative of the vibration of gas turbine tip-shrouded bladed disk assembly subjected to Gaussian white noise excitation as an illustrative example.


2010 ◽  
Vol 114 (1160) ◽  
pp. 637-650 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Arnst ◽  
R. Ghanem ◽  
S. Masri

AbstractData-driven methodologies based on the restoring force method have been developed over the past few decades for building predictive reduced-order models (ROMs) of nonlinear dynamical systems. These methodologies involve fitting a polynomial expansion of the restoring force in the dominant state variables to observed states of the system. ROMs obtained in this way are usually prone to errors and uncertainties due to the approximate nature of the polynomial expansion and experimental limitations. We develop in this article a stochastic methodology that endows these errors and uncertainties with a probabilistic structure in order to obtain a quantitative description of the proximity between the ROM and the system that it purports to represent. Specifically, we propose an entropy maximization procedure for constructing a multi-variate probability distribution for the coefficients of power-series expansions of restoring forces. An illustration in stochastic aeroelastic stability analysis is provided to demonstrate the proposed framework.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sansit Patnaik ◽  
Fabio Semperlotti

Abstract The modeling of nonlinear dynamical systems subject to strong and evolving nonsmooth nonlinearities is typically approached via integer-order differential equations. In this study, we present the possible application of variable-order (VO) fractional operators to a class of nonlinear lumped parameter models that have great practical relevance in mechanics and dynamics. Fractional operators are intrinsically multiscale operators that can act on both space- and time-dependent variables. Contrarily to their integer-order counterpart, fractional operators can have either fixed or VO. In the latter case, the order can be function of either independent or state variables. We show that when using VO equations to describe the response of dynamical systems, the order can evolve as a function of the response itself; therefore, allowing a natural and seamless transition between widely dissimilar dynamics. Such an intriguing characteristic allows defining governing equations for dynamical systems that are evolutionary in nature. Within this context, we present a physics-driven strategy to define VO operators capable of capturing complex and evolutionary phenomena. Specific examples include hysteresis in discrete oscillators and contact problems. Despite using simplified models to illustrate the applications of VO operators, we show numerical evidence of their unique modeling capabilities as well as their connection to more complex dynamical systems.


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