Expansionary monetary policy and corporate investment in an emerging market

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Quoc Trung Tran
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Cash Holdings ◽  
Corporate Investment ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Cash Holding ◽  
Content Type

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of monetary loosening on corporate investment in an emerging market. Design/methodology/approach The paper begins this study by using a dynamic model to investigate the effect of monetary loosening on corporate investment. This paper uses money supply growth as a proxy for monetary loosening, as the State Bank of Vietnam relies mainly on a quantity-based policy. Next, this paper continues to analyze whether cash holdings are able to mitigate this effect. Finally, this paper examines the effect of monetary loosening on investment smoothing and the mitigating role of cash holding. The research sample includes 4,868 from 617 firms. This paper uses different regression techniques (i.e. pooled ordinary least squares clustered by firm, fixed effects, random effects and system generalized method of moments). Findings The research findings show that money supply growth is positively related to both corporate investment and investment smoothing. The effect of monetary loosening on corporate investment is mitigated by corporate cash holding. Moreover, this paper finds that the mitigating effect of cash holdings is stronger for financially constrained firms and non-state-owned enterprises. Originality/value Prior studies only focus on corporate investment under-tightening monetary policy; however, there is no research on firm investment under monetary loosening in an emerging market.

Managerial optimism and corporate cash holdings

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ly Thi Hai Tran ◽  
Thoa Thi Kim Tu ◽  
Thao Thi Phuong Hoang
Keyword(s):  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Cash Holdings ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Cash Holding ◽  
Growth Opportunities ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Managerial Optimism ◽  
Linguistic Tone ◽  
Corporate Cash Holdings

PurposeThis paper examines the effects of managerial optimism on corporate cash holdings.Design/methodology/approachThe authors construct a novel measure of managerial optimism based on the linguistic tone of annual reports by applying a Naïve Bayesian Machine Learning algorithm to non-numeric parts of Vietnamese listed firms' reports from 2010 to 2016. The paper employs firm and year fixed effects model and also uses the generalized method of moments estimation as robustness checks.FindingsThe authors find that the cash holding of firms managed by optimistic managers is higher than the cash holdings of firms managed by non-optimistic managers. Managerial optimism also influences corporate cash holdings through internal cash flows and the current year’s capital expenditures. Although the authors find no evidence that optimistic managers hold more cash to finance future growth opportunities in general, optimistic managers hold more cash for near future investment opportunities than non-optimistic managers do.Research limitations/implicationsThe novel measure proposed in this study is expected to provide great potential for future finance studies investigating the relation between managerial traits and corporate policies since it is applicable for any levels of financial market development. In addition, the findings highlight the important role, both direct and indirect, of managerial optimism on cash holdings. Related future research should take this psychological trait into account to gain a better understanding of corporate cash holding.Originality/valueThis paper helps to extend the literature on managerial optimism measurement by introducing a new measure of managerial optimism based on the linguistic tone of annual reports. Furthermore, this is among the first studies directly linking annual report linguistic tone to cash holding. The paper also provides new evidence regarding how managerial optimism affects the relationship between the firm's growth opportunities and cash holding, given that mispricing corrections are naturally uncertain.

Exploring the nonlinear effect of size on profitability: evidence from an insurance brokerage industry in an emerging market

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Angelous Kotey ◽  
Richard Akomatey ◽  
Baah Aye Kusi
Keyword(s):  
Nonlinear Effect ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Growth Strategies ◽  
Content Type ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Brokerage Firms

PurposeThis study examines the possible nonlinear effect of size on stakeholder and shareholder profitability in the Ghanaian insurance brokerage industry.Design/methodology/approachThis study employs a panel dataset of 64 Ghanaian insurance brokerage firms spanning 2011–2015. Static [ordinary least squares (OLS), fixed effect and random effect and dynamic (two-step generalized method of moments (GMM))] estimation techniques are employed to analyze the data.FindingsThe study finds the existence of both economies and diseconomies of scale and scope theories in the Ghanaian insurance brokerage industry confirming the existence of nonlinear nexus between size and performance. This finding is consistent for both stakeholder and shareholder profit performance. Thus, the results show that size improves profitability of insurance brokerage firms, but beyond a certain threshold, the relationship turns negative as size negatively affects profitability.Practical implicationsThe research findings have implications for both policy and research; the study recommends that Ghanaian brokerage managers should understand that not all growth is good and exercise a duty of care when applying growth strategies by monitoring size effect on performance so as not to go beyond the inflection point. Further research can be done to examine this effect in other contexts, timeframes and jurisdictions.Originality/valueThis research is unique in that it employs a panel dataset consisting of 96% of insurance brokerage firms in Ghana whilst employing both static and nonstatic regression models to examine the effect of size. The research analysis adopted is robust, and the findings are significant. Also, the lack of empirical studies on the operations and dealings of auxiliary institutions such as the insurance brokerage firms adds value to this research.

Corporate cash holdings and firm life cycle: evidence from China

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ajid Ur Rehman ◽  
Tanveer Ahmad ◽  
Shahzad Hussain ◽  
Shoaib Hassan
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Growth Stage ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Cash Holdings ◽  
External Financing ◽  
Strategic Choices ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Firm Life Cycle ◽  
Corporate Cash Holdings

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate how corporate cash holdings changes across firm life cycle and how firms undergo heterogeneous dynamic cash adjustment as they advance from one stage to the next stage. Design/methodology/approach This study uses an extensive data set of 2,994 Chinese A-listed firms. The authors use generalized method of moments (GMM) and Fisher Panel unit root testing to investigate the targeting behavior of Chinese firms. Findings The uni-variate investigation reveals that firms in the growth stage exhibits the highest cash levels and firms in the decline stage report the lowest cash levels. As growth firms have high investment needs, they may require raising external capital to meet investment needs. To avoid the costly external financing, firms in growth stage tend to hold more cash. The GMM estimation reveals that along all the phases of firm life cycle there are evidences of trade-off behavior of corporate cash holdings. The authors report that adjustment rate increases as firms enters into the growth stage. Practical implications The findings provide both theoretical and practical insight to align cash policies with the available strategic choices along firm life cycle in an emerging market characterized by market imperfections. Originality/value The study is unique from the context that it is applying robust methodology to one of rarely investigated area in corporate cash policy. The peculiar Chinese study setting characterized by higher information asymmetry, high cost of external financing and heterogeneous access to financing sources provide theoretical and empirical underpinnings to investigate and gain insight about how corporate cash policy can be aligned with strategic choices available across different stages of life cycle.

Inflation volatility, monetary policy signaling and clarity of the central bank communication

2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (2) ◽  
pp. 266-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rodolfo Nicolay ◽  
Ana Jordânia de Oliveira
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Emerging Economy ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Inflation Volatility ◽  
Central Bank Communication

PurposeStudies about the determinants of the clarity of central bank communication are still scarce. To the authors’ knowledge, there are no studies regarding emerging economies. The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the literature in the following aspects: to analyze the determinants of the clarity of the central bank communication in an inflation targeting emerging economy; observe the influence of inflation volatility over the clarity; and observe the effect of the monetary policy signaling over the clarity.Design/methodology/approachThe work uses readability indexes to measure the clarity of central bank communication. The empirical analysis uses ordinary least squares and the Generalized Method of Moments with one- and two-step estimations.FindingsThe findings suggest the inflation volatility reduces the clarity of central bank communication. Moreover, the monetary policy signaling also affects the clarity, but the effect depends on the direction of the signal.Practical implicationsThis paper observes the determinants of the clarity considering an emerging economy environment. The clarity of central bank communications is an important tool to access transparency. Hence, the analysis of what determines the clarity of central bank communication is a debate about the level of transparency accessed by the central bank.Originality/valueThere are no studies about the determinants of the clarity of central bank communication in emerging economies. Moreover, the novelty are the effects of inflation volatility and monetary policy signaling over the clarity.

Does Shariah compliance affect corporate cash holdings and cash adjustment dynamics? Evidence from Malaysia

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moncef Guizani ◽  
Gaafar Abdalkrim
Keyword(s):  
Positive Impact ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Cash Holdings ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Cash Holding ◽  
External Financing ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Listed Firms ◽  
Corporate Cash Holdings

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effect of Shariah compliance status on corporate cash holding decision. Design/methodology/approach This study applies ordinary least square and generalized method of moments regression models for a sample of 178 Malaysian listed firms over the period 2008–2017. Findings The results show that Shariah compliance has positive impact on the level of cash reserves of firms. It is also found that Shariah-compliant (SC) firms quickly adjust their level of cash holdings toward a target level than non–Shariah-compliant (NSC) firms. These results can be explained by the restrictions imposed by Shariah rules on firms to sustain their compliance status. Further, the results reveal that SC firms are likely to hold more cash out of their cash flows. This is the expected result, as the firms operating within the ambit of Shariah rulings and regulations face external financing constraints. Practical implications This study has important implications for managers, policymakers and regulators. For managers, the study is an important reference to understand and design cash management policies by considering restrictions imposed by Shariah regulations. In particular, managers should pay more attention to periods of credit crunch and weak economic conditions in which SC firms may be exposed to greater bankruptcy risks. For policymakers and regulators, this study may be useful in assessing the effect of the restrictions imposed by Shariah law on firm’s cash holding decision. Therefore, in an effort to increase the supply of external financing available to SC firms, policymakers should encourage the issuing of Islamic financial products. Originality/value This paper focuses on SC firms where financial constraints are bound to be more stringent than for NSC firms. It explores the implications of relevant Islamic principles on corporate cash holdings.

Central bank’s perception on inflation and inflation expectations of experts

2015 ◽  
Vol 42 (6) ◽  
pp. 1142-1158 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriel Caldas Montes ◽  
Rodolfo Tomás da Fonseca Nicolay
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Response Analysis ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Central Bank Communication

Purpose – Due to the fact that studies on central bank communication in emerging countries are still scarce and there are few studies related to the influence that central bank’s perspectives about the state of the economy have on inflation expectations in emerging economies, the purpose of this paper is to contribute to the literature in the following aspects: it proposes an indicator of the central bank’s perception of inflation based on the minutes of the COPOM meetings, and, it analyzes the influence of central bank communication on expert inflation expectations through such indicator. Design/methodology/approach – Due to the fact that the perception of the Central Bank of Brazil is not directly observable, it is measured through the fuzzy set theory by an indicator that captures the informational content of the minutes of the COPOM meetings. The empirical analysis uses ordinary least squares, the generalized method of moments and vector-autoregressive through impulse-response analysis. Findings – The findings suggest that the expectations of financial market experts react according to the content of the information provided by the central bank, i.e., announcements cause deterioration of expectations in times of instability, and reduce inflation expectations when inflation is controlled. The results also support the idea that the credibility of inflation targeting plays a key role in determining inflation expectations. Practical implications – This paper suggests a new approach on studies about central bank communication. The focus here is not on the effect of the announcements in terms of future monetary policy, but on the perception of the central bank in terms of inflation. This central bank’s perception reflects the optimistic or pessimistic view about the economic outlook and risk of inflation and this perception is considered by experts of financial markets. Originality/value – For Brazil, there are no studies about the influence of communication through the minutes of the Brazilian Monetary Policy Committee meetings on inflation expectations. The authors develop an indicator in order to measure central bank’s perception of inflation based on the minutes of COPOM meetings.

Effects of reputation and credibility on monetary policy: theory and evidence for Brazil

2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
pp. 387-404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriel Caldas Montes ◽  
Julio Cesar Albuquerque Bastos
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Monetary Authority ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Policy Theory ◽  
Inflation Bias ◽  
Empirical Field

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate that both the reputation of the monetary authority and the credibility of the regime of inflation targeting are important to reduce the inflation bias and the effort of the monetary authority in an emerging economy. Design/methodology/approach – The paper develops a model which shows that the gain of credibility reduces the effort of the monetary authority in the conduct of monetary policy. The paper presents an econometric analysis for Brazil through ordinary least squares, generalized method of moments (GMM), system of equations by GMM and vector autoregressive. Findings – The findings suggest that the reputation of the monetary authority is important to the improvement of credibility, and the gains of credibility reduce the effort of the monetary authority in the conduct of monetary policy, reducing the variations of the monetary base. Originality/value – In the theoretical field, the study develops a model which shows that credibility is important to reduce both the inflation bias and the efforts of the monetary authority in the conduct of monetary policy. In the empirical field: first, it proposes a new index of reputation for the monetary authority; second, it demonstrates that the gain of reputation improves credibility, but also that attempts to exploit the output-inflation trade-off reduces credibility; third, the analysis found that the gains of credibility reduce the efforts of the monetary authority in the conduct of monetary policy.

scholarly journals Determinants of Corporate Cash Holdings: Evidence from MNCs in Pakistan

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-78
Author(s):  
Nadeem Ahmed Sheikh ◽  
Khawaja Khalid Mehmood ◽  
Mujtaba Kamal
Keyword(s):  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Cash Holdings ◽  
Cash Flows ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Capital Expenditures ◽  
Cash Holding ◽  
Working Capital ◽  
Growth Opportunities ◽  
Corporate Cash Holdings

The purpose of this article is to investigate whether firm-specific variables (i.e. size, growth opportunities, profitability, capital expenditures, leverage, dividends, cash flow and working capital) affect the cash holdings of MNCs. Moreover, to investigate whether theories relevant to cash holdings provide any justification to narrate the cash holding behavior of listed MNCs on Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) for the period 2006-2016. Results indicate that profitability positively impacts cash holdings. Firm size positively impacts cash holdings in pooled Ordinary Least Squares, while it negatively impacts cash holdings in the fixed effects method; however the relationship is insignificant. Leverage, growth opportunities, dividends, working capital ratio and capital expenditures are significant and negatively related to corporate cash holdings. Finally, cash flows are unrelated to cash holdings. In short, results indicate that firm-specific variables significantly affect the cash holdings of MNCs. Moreover, (+/-) coefficients of different explanatory variables indicate that theories relevant to cash holdings provide some support to explain the cash holding behavior of MNCs in an emerging economy - Pakistan.

Ownership concentration and firm performance in Indian firms: does investor protection quality matter?

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nufazil Altaf ◽  
Farooq Ahamad Shah
Keyword(s):  
Firm Performance ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Investor Protection ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Ownership Concentration ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Dynamic Perspective ◽  
Moderating Role

Purpose The purpose of this paper is twofold: first, to investigate the relationship between ownership concentration and firm performance and, second, to determine the moderating role of investor protection quality on the ownership concentration-performance relationship from a dynamic perspective. Design/methodology/approach The study is based on secondary financial data of 236 Indian manufacturing firms obtained from CAPITALINE database, pertaining to a period of five years. This study uses ordinary least squares, fixed effects and two-step generalized method of moments (GMM) techniques to arrive at results. Findings Results of the study confirm the inverted U-shaped relationship between ownership concentration and firm performance and a significant positive effect of investor protection quality on firm performance. With regard to moderating role of investor protection quality on ownership concentration–performance relationship, results show that investor protection quality would significantly moderate the ownership concentration–performance relationship. Originality/value The study is a pioneer in proving that an inverted U-shaped relationship exists between ownership concentration and firm performance in an emerging market in general and India in particular. This study extends the corporate governance literature by examining ownership concentration–performance relationship in a dynamic perspective and in an unexplored market.

Analysis of corporate cash holdings of firms in Malaysia

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 118-135 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaista Wasiuzzaman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Cash Holdings ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Order Theory ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Pecking Order Theory ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Corporate Cash Holdings

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to understand the motives behind the levels of cash holdings and the theory that may be able to explain why these firms hold so much cash. Design/methodology/approach – Annual financial data and stock prices of 192 firms from six different sectors on the Bursa Malaysia are collected for the period 2000-2007. Analysis using the non-parametric Kruskal–Wallis test is carried out to analyze industrial and time differences in cash holdings. The ordinary least square (OLS) regression technique is used to understand the relationships between various attributes with the level of cash holdings. Due to issues of endogeneity, the generalized method of moments method is also applied. Findings – Significant differences are found to exist in the level of cash holdings between firms and across time. It is found that firms adjust to a target level of cash holdings, although this is done relatively slowly. Also, significance of firm characteristics and their relationships with cash holdings indicate that other than the pecking order theory, the trade-off theory and the agency theory can help explain the level of cash holdings of firms in Malaysia. Originality/value – Most studies on cash holdings have been carried out in developed countries. Malaysia is an advanced emerging market with significant state control and firm structure being largely family-oriented. Hence, a study on a different market with different types of firm structures will contribute significantly to the existing literature on corporate cash holdings.

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