Recurrent Neural Network Estimator for Stock Price

Author(s):  
Ashwathy Bhooshan ◽  
V S Hari
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1307-1317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guangyu Ding ◽  
Liangxi Qin

AbstractStock market has received widespread attention from investors. It has always been a hot spot for investors and investment companies to grasp the change regularity of the stock market and predict its trend. Currently, there are many methods for stock price prediction. The prediction methods can be roughly divided into two categories: statistical methods and artificial intelligence methods. Statistical methods include logistic regression model, ARCH model, etc. Artificial intelligence methods include multi-layer perceptron, convolutional neural network, naive Bayes network, back propagation network, single-layer LSTM, support vector machine, recurrent neural network, etc. But these studies predict only one single value. In order to predict multiple values in one model, it need to design a model which can handle multiple inputs and produces multiple associated output values at the same time. For this purpose, it is proposed an associated deep recurrent neural network model with multiple inputs and multiple outputs based on long short-term memory network. The associated network model can predict the opening price, the lowest price and the highest price of a stock simultaneously. The associated network model was compared with LSTM network model and deep recurrent neural network model. The experiments show that the accuracy of the associated model is superior to the other two models in predicting multiple values at the same time, and its prediction accuracy is over 95%.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 3984
Author(s):  
Xinpeng Yu ◽  
Dagang Li

Stock performance prediction plays an important role in determining the appropriate timing of buying or selling a stock in the development of a trading system. However, precise stock price prediction is challenging because of the complexity of the internal structure of the stock price system and the diversity of external factors. Although research on forecasting stock prices has been conducted continuously, there are few examples of the successful use of stock price forecasting models to develop effective trading systems. Inspired by the process of human stock traders looking for trading opportunities, we propose a deep learning framework based on a hybrid convolutional recurrent neural network (HCRNN) to predict the important trading points (IPs) that are more likely to be followed by a significant stock price rise to capture potential high-margin opportunities. In the HCRNN model, the convolutional neural network (CNN) performs convolution on the most recent region to capture local fluctuation features, and the long short-term memory (LSTM) approach learns the long-term temporal dependencies to improve stock performance prediction. Comprehensive experiments on real stock market data prove the effectiveness of our proposed framework. Our proposed method ITPP-HCRNN achieves an annualized return that is 278.46% more than that of the market.


Recent years have seen the wide use of Time series forecasting (TSF) for predicting the future price stock, modeling and analyzing of finance time series helps in guiding the trades and investors decision. Moreover considering the stock as the dynamic environment, it is pronounced as the non-linearity of time series which affects the stock price forecast immediately. Hence, in this research work we propose intelligent TSF model, which helps in forecasting the early prediction of stock prices. The proposed stock price forecasting model employed both short-term (i.e. recent behavior fluctuation) using log bilinear (LBL) model and long-term (i.e., historical) behavior using recurrent neural network (RNN) based LSTM (long short term memory )model. Subsequently, this model is mainly helpful for the home brokers since they do not possess enough knowledge about the stock market. Proposed RNNLBL hybrid model shows the satisfying forecasting performance, these results in overall profit for the investors and trades. Furthermore, proposed model possesses a promising forecasting in case of the non-linear time series since the pattern of non-linear pattern are highly improbable to capture through these state-of-art stock price forecasting models.


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