Parametric cost estimating: a practical independent method of estimating the manufacturing cost of chips to modules in the Peoples Republic of China

Author(s):  
R.W. Farrington
Author(s):  
Dennis J. L. Siedlak ◽  
Paul R. Schlais ◽  
Olivia J. Pinon ◽  
Dimitri N. Mavris

In the years since the Cold War, the aerospace industry has seen a shift towards affordability-based design from the primarily performance-based designs of the past era. While many techniques, such as IPPD and PLM, have been implemented in support of this shift, recent developments in the industry have led to major cost overruns and production delays. The increased prevalence of demand variability in the aerospace industry and the difficulty to rapidly adapt production plans are a primary cause of these issues. Furthermore, traditional aircraft designers perform detailed manufacturing cost analysis late in the design process when the majority of the program costs are already committed. With the recent shift to more composite aerostructures, historical regressions and cost estimating relationships used to predict cost and manufacturability are no longer accurate, so postponing more detailed cost analyses to later design phases can lead to high costs due to sub-optimal early design decisions. The methodology presented in this paper addresses these problems by providing the ability to conduct multi-disciplinary trades in the early stages of design, when a large amount of design freedom and cost savings opportunities exist. To enable these multi-disciplinary trades, this paper describes how aircraft performance considerations are integrated with production rate, manufacturing cost, and financial planning metrics into a parametric, visual trade-off environment. The environment, combined with a multi-objective optimization routine, facilitate effective affordability-based trades during the early stages of design. An F-86 Sabre redesigned wingbox using 3 separate manufacturing concepts is used as a proof-of-concept for this research.


Author(s):  
Julius P. Wong ◽  
Ibrahim N. Imam ◽  
Ali Khosravi-Kamrani ◽  
Hamid R. Parsaei ◽  
Fariborz Tayyari

Author(s):  
Mohamed El Wazziki ◽  
Anh Dung Ngo

This work aimed at developing a parametric cost-estimating model based on physical laws for making three categories of thermoplastic composites structural aerospace parts from discontinuous prepreg randomly oriented strands. The proposed cost model will use Microsoft Excel spreadsheet developed in house which imputes all industrial and academic data for calculating costs elements such as material, labour, energy, machinery, building costs and costs of working capital, overheads and then the total cost per part. This research study focused, on one hand, at estimating the heating costs for experimental and virtual parts by changing the volume and keeping the same process cycle times. The heating power was determined by simulating the process thermal diagram numerically using finite elements COMSOL software and validated by experimental data. On the other hand, the tooling costs were estimated by DFMA software for experimental and virtual moulds by changing the projected area. Then, the heating energy and tooling costs sizing scaling laws were established under linear equation forms limited to the size of platens areas. These linear equations were inputted in an Excel spreadsheet to calculate the cost of new parts, which have not been made yet. The variation of the total cost with the size and the complexity of the part were investigated. The results showed that the calculated heating energy costs of the three experimental randomly oriented strand parts were different due to different geometries of the heating platens and the moulds. For the mould cost, the more complex the form was the higher the cost. For total cost, it was also demonstrated that the manufacturing cost of L-bracket part was higher than that of flat plate and T-shape part due to higher process cycle time.


1969 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 343-350 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. T. Abraham ◽  
R. D. Prasad

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